U.S. Macro & Regional Economic Outlook
While the new year has gotten off to a difficult start, it should end well.
The pandemic will be fading by mid-year and unprecedented monetary accommodation and fiscal support augur well. Yet, there are considerable threats to this optimism and substantial longer-term fallout from the pandemic. In this webinar, we will weigh these cross-currents. Join Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team for this timely analysis.
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Weekly Market Outlook: Quality Bonds Retreat as Leveraged Loans Shine
Following the recessions of 1990-1991, 2001, and 2008-2009, the U.S. high-yield default rate peaked at June 1991's 12.3%, January 2002's 11.1%, and November 2009's 14.7%.
Global Economic Outlook
After a soft end to 2020 and a difficult start in 2021, the global economic recovery is projected to gain momentum in the coming year supported by the coronavirus vaccine rollout.
Weekly Market Outlook: Too Much of a Good Thing?
Markets now fret over the possibility that massive amounts of fiscal and monetary stimulus may damage future financial conditions and economic performance.
Briefing on the U.S. CCAR & European Stress Test Scenarios
Following last week’s release of the Federal Reserve’s Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) scenarios for 2021, join Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team as they discuss the CCAR scenarios.
Weekly Market Outlook: Fast Declining EDF Favors Thinner High-Yield Bond Spread
Moody's Analytics' average expected default frequency metric of U.S./Canadian high-yield issuers, or high-yield EDF, recently sank to 2.36% for its lowest reading since the 2.35% of early October 2018.
Moody's Analytics & Raymond James In Conversation: The Year Ahead - Current Economic Outlook & Policy Update
Join us for the kick-off event in our webinar series: Moody’s Analytics & Raymond James in Conversation where we will discuss the outlook for the U.S. economy, policy under the Biden administration and its impact on banking / lending.
Weekly Market Outlook: Prices Rise Here, There and Everywhere
Industrial commodity prices have climbed higher in response to both an actual and anticipated firming of global industrial activity.
Weekly Market Outlook: Investment-Grade Bond Offerings to Slow from 2020's Torrid Pace
Despite the COVID-19 global recession, corporate bond issuance thrived in 2020.
Averting an Eviction Crisis
The pandemic has hit the nation's most vulnerable communities hard. Not only have they been more likely to get sick, but they have been more likely to lose their income and savings, and now they are more likely to be evicted.
Weekly Market Outlook: Not All Debt Is Equal
Capital structure matters. All else the same, credit quality benefits—or default risk is lower than otherwise—the longer is the term to maturity of outstanding debt.
