While the new year has gotten off to a difficult start, it should end well.
The pandemic will be fading by mid-year and unprecedented monetary accommodation and fiscal support augur well. Yet, there are considerable threats to this optimism and substantial longer-term fallout from the pandemic. In this webinar, we will weigh these cross-currents. Join Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team for this timely analysis.
The post-meeting statement from the Federal Open Market Committee strengthens our view that the central bank will provide some additional clarity about its tapering plans in September, but the taper itself won't start until early next year.
As the pandemic recedes, so too will inflation.
We will be adding the Delta variant of COVID-19 to our U.S. risk matrix, but as of now, the odds that it causes significant damage are low.
Federal lawmakers are feverishly working on another massive fiscal plan, including a nearly $600 billion bipartisan infrastructure deal and a $3.5 trillion package of spending and tax breaks to support a range of social investments that the Biden administration and congressional Democrats hope to pass into law via the budget reconciliation process.
In this white paper, we assess the macroeconomic impact of both the bipartisan infrastructure deal and the reconciliation package.
The U.S. consumer price index jumped in June, but the market shook it off.
Technical factors are pulling the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield lower recently.
Stress lines are beginning to appear, and the housing market is set to cool off.
Throughout the pandemic, corporate credit markets have remained surprisingly calm despite significant and risky debt exposures.