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    Moody's Analytics Insights

    Moody's Analytics Insights

    Webinar-on-Demand

    Moody's Analytics Webinar: U.S. Consumer Credit Outlook

    Join Scott Hoyt and Deniz Tudor of Moody's Analytics, as they discuss the current and anticipated trends in household credit conditions

    Presentation

    Tech Disruption in CRE & The Evolution of Hyperlocal Analysis

    How is technology disrupting CRE, and how hyperlocal analysis is evolving to augment traditional analysis of risk and opportunities. The session will cover real-world case studies and how clients have been responding to disruptive trends and using hyperlocal data to address challenges.

    Presentation
    3D Connection

    The Next Recession

    The U.S. and global economies are struggling under the weight of the U.S.-China trade war and a range of other geopolitical threats. Can the global economy avoid an economic recession?

    Presentation
    Financial and business chart and graphs

    Transmission of Economic and Financial Shocks: Getting Prepared for the Next Downturn or Crisis

    We examine past histories of recessions and crises to identify hidden vulnerabilities and weak links in the economy and financial system. ‍

    Presentation
    Stock Market Graph and Bar Chart

    Boom, Bust, Flat: Quantifying Recession and Expansion Risks with Scenarios

    Having achieved the longest expansion in history, what's next for the US economy? ‍We will identify current downside – and upside – risks that could pull the economy into recession or propel it forward. We identify short, medium, and long-term risk factors and introduce a methodology for incorporating these risks into a globally consistent framework. ‍While no model can forecast the future with certainty, scenarios with mathematically derived probability weights can manage these risks and lead to better, faster decisions. ‍

    Webinar-on-Demand

    Identifying Areas of Potential Growth - Opportunity Zones

    The Opportunity Zone (OZ) program offers substantial federal tax incentives in exchange for capital investment in under-resourced areas.

    Webinar-on-Demand
    Business and financial report

    Webinar: Europe Economic Outlook - Cloud of Uncertainty

    We consider the leading indicators of recession, the potential timing of the downturn, its severity and length.

    Article
    Stock market chart

    Searching for Opportunity in the Land of OZ

    The Opportunity Zone (OZ) program offers substantial federal tax incentives in exchange for capital investment in under-resourced areas. This creates challenges for investors, policymakers and other stakeholders when trying to evaluate the more than 8,700 Opportunity Zones in their entirety. In this paper, we leverage our opportunity zones

    Webinar-on-Demand
    Business and financial report

    Moody's Analytics Webinar: Who Will Be the Next President?

    In this timely webinar, Mark Zandi, Dan White and Bernard Yaros examine the prospects for the U.S. presidential election based on their modeling of the past 10 Presidential elections. We also will assess the impact of voter turnout on the election results, something that had a significant impact on the 2016 election outcome

    Article
    illuminated charts and graphs

    2020 Presidential Election Model

    The economy may not be top of mind for voters in every election, but it is hardly ever further than a close second. This is the principle underpinning Moody's Analytics presidential election models.

    Presentation
    Graphic of financial indicators

    The Next Recession - APAC Edition

    Recession risks are uncomfortably high and rising, as President Trump continues to pursue his trade war with China.

    Article
    illuminated charts and graphs

    Evaluating Senator Warren's Social Security Reform Plan

    This brief paper outlines Senator Warren's reform plan and evaluates its actuarial, macroeconomic and distributional impacts.