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Moody's Analytics Insights

Article
illuminated charts and graphs

Weekly Market Outlook: Default Outlook Again Defies Unmatched Ratio of Corporate Debt to GDP

In terms of a moving yearlong average, U.S. nonfinancial corporate debt rose to a record high 46.0% of GDP as of the span-ended September 2018. Nonfinancial corporate debt's 6.4% year-over-year increase for the 12-months-ended September 2018 outran nominal GDP's comparably measured rise of 5.0%.

February 2019
John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo,  Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Moody's Analytics Webinar: Exclusive look into the CreditLens™ solution

Join us as our product strategy team explores the new CreditLens™ solution.

February 2019

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Moody's Analytics Webinar: Briefing on the CCAR Scenarios

The Federal Reserve have released its scenarios for the 2019 CCAR stress test. Listen as Mark Zandi and Cristian deRitis discuss the narratives behind the Fed's scenarios under forecasts of detailed economic variables.

February 2019
Mark Zandi,  Dr. Cristian deRitis

Article
illuminated charts and graphs

Trump Trade War: An Uneasy Truce

Using the Moody's Analytics model of the global economy, we consider the fallout if current negotiations break down and trade tensions between the two economic giants reignite.

February 2019
Mark Zandi

Article
Black and white photo of stock market numbers overlayed on city sky

Weekly Market Outlook: Equity Analysts' Confidence Contrasts With Economists' Skepticism

Notwithstanding January's bigger-than-expected addition to payrolls, the futures market recently assigned a mere 3% probability to a hiking of fed funds at any point in 2019.

February 2019
John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell,  Steven Cochrane, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Michael Ferlez

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Moody's Analytics Webinar: 2019 Middle East Outlook – A Rosy Future for Oil Exporters

In this webinar, Moody's Analytics economists discuss Middle East's macroeconomic outlook with particular focus on the prospects for the Emirati and Saudi economies.

February 2019
Moody's Analytics

Article

Moody's Analytics Wins the Inaugral RiskTech100® IFRS 9 Award

International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS) 9 introduced a new accounting standard for financial instruments when it came into effect in January 2018. Taking first place for helping customers solve challenges around IFRS 9 is Moody's Analytics, winner of the inaugural RiskTech100 ® IFRS 9 award.

February 2019

Article
Blurred business people walking in front of bank

Weekly Market Outlook: Fed's Pause May Refresh a Tiring Economic Recovery

As high ranking Federal Reserve officials reiterated many times earlier, monetary policy is not on a preset course.

January 2019
John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Veasna Kong, Barbara Teixeira Araujo,  Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez

Article
illuminated charts and graphs

Weekly Market Outlook: Rising Default Rate May Be Difficult to Cap

Because of its acute sensitivity to the business-cycle and corporate earnings, the high-yield credit market will have more to worry about this year.

January 2019
John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo,  Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Moody's Analytics Webinar: ImpairmentCalc™ - Understanding IFRS 9 ECL Volatility

ImpairmentCalc™ software produces IFRS 9 ECL estimates which are both forward-looking and incorporate the latest changes in the macroeconomic environment.

January 2019
Moody's Analytics

Article
illuminated charts and graphs

Weekly Market Outlook: Baa-Grade Credits Dominate U.S. Investment-Grade Rating Revisions

In 2018's final quarter, the 22 downgrades of U.S. investment-grade companies included nine that were at least partly ascribed to mergers, acquisitions and divestitures and three that were linked to equity buybacks. Only half, or 11, of fourth-quarter 2018's U.S. investment-grade downgrades were primarily driven by worsened operating or market fundamentals.

January 2019
John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Mark Zandi,  Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez

Article

Moody's Analytics Wins the Credit Risk for the Banking Book Award in the 2019 Chartis RiskTech100®

The unbeatable winner in the credit risk space is Moody's Analytics, previous winner of the Credit Risk award two years in a row, which has now also secured the new RiskTech100 ® Credit Risk for the Banking Book award.

January 2019