Featured Product

    Moody's Analytics Insights

    Moody's Analytics Insights

    Article
    Image of many silver and one blue ball bearing

    How Corporate Credit Might Burst an Equity Bubble

    Highly leveraged corporate balance sheets have often been cited as one of the greater threats to both the most richly valued U.S. equity market since 2000 and a record-long business cycle upturn.

    Webinar-on-Demand
    Business and financial report

    Moody's Analytics Webinar: 2020 U.S. Macro Outlook: Two Economies

    The U.S. economy is being buffeted by significant cross-currents.

    Whitepaper

    RiskCalc United States Stressed EDF and LGD Model Approach v3.0

    We have developed an upgraded stress testing model that can be applied to any internal rating framework and is compatible with the RiskCalc™ U.S. 4.0 Corporate, REO, Dealership, and NFP models. This paper presents the updated PD model that incorporates new data and more sectors.

    Article
    Image of red painted staircase

    Weekly Market Outlook: Positive Earnings Outlook Requires Flat to Lower Interest Rates

    After shrinking by 0.6% year over year during January-September 2019, yearlong 2019's core after-tax profits may be unchanged annually, at best.

    Article
    Stock Market Graph and Bar Chart

    Cards and CECL estimates

    Recent CECL impact disclosures point directly to credit cards as the largest driver of the allowance. We can confirm those recent disclosures by looking at the consumer default volumes chart in Figure 1,which clearly point to the credit card segment as being one of the largest contributors of loss today.

    Article
    Stock Market Graph and Bar Chart

    PCD assets post-CECL: The real-world implications of an accounting change

    One benefit CECL will bring to the accounting space is moving away from the complicated and burdensome accounting for Purchase Credit Impaired (PCI) assets.

    Article
    City building looking up at sky

    More Questions Than Answers on Trade Agreement

    The impending Phase One trade agreement between the U.S. and China has delivered more questions than answers. The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative posted a two-page fact sheet on December 13 detailing the pending agreement in general terms but provided few details.

    Article
    illuminated charts and graphs

    Weekly Market Outlook: Overvalued Equities Increase Corporate Credit's Downside Risk

    An overvalued equity market increases the risk of a deep sell-off of equities that will damage corporate credit.

    Article
    illuminated charts and graphs

    Foreign Direct Investments in Asia: Trends and Prospects

    Asia as a region has attracted the largest share of global FDI flows since 2017 and despite the ongoing U.S.-China trade war, the region is well positioned to continue being the top destination for foreign investments in the years ahead.

    Article
    Close up of Benjamin Franklin image on US 100 dollar bill

    Weekly Market Outlook: High-Yield Rating Changes Say High-Yield Bond Spread Is Too Thin

    High-yield bonds have rallied mightily despite the lack of any observable broad-based acceleration of either business sales or corporate earnings

    Webinar-on-Demand
    Business and financial report

    U.S. Commercial Properties Price Indices Methodology and Forecast Trends

    Moody's Analytics has added six new U.S. commercial property price indices (CPPI) to its global macroeconomic forecast model based on sales transaction data from REIS.

    Article
    City building looking up at sky

    Electing the Fair Value Option Instead of CECL? Know the Risks

    Some recent public disclosures by institutions indicate that some lenders are evaluating electing fair value accounting, also known as the fair value option, or FVO, in lieu of applying the Current Expected Credit Losses standard.