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    Economic Forecasts

    Moody's Analytics provides comprehensive macro and regional forecasts to help clients from various industries assess potential economic outcomes on the performance of businesses and investments.

    Our forecasts have a 30-year horizon and are updated monthly to reflect the latest economic data and expectations. Our scenario-driven approach to forecasting begins with our baseline forecast. We define this as the “most likely outcome” based on current conditions and our view of where the economy is headed. We then develop the basic outlines of our alternative scenarios by running multiple simulations to develop a probability distribution of economic outcomes.

    Comprehensive Coverage of the Global Economy

    Our economists produce forecasts for 100+ countries and sub regions using our fully-specified structural global macroeconomic model that covers 12,000+ variables, including labor markets, real estate prices, interest rates, initial claims and more. Geographies are interlinked by trade flows, financial markets, prices and investments.

    Fully Documented Forecast Methodology and Narratives

    We furnish a fully documented model methodology and validation reports as well as narratives for baseline forecasts and each scenario. Clients also have direct access to economists, data specialists and a dedicated client services team for support.

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