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Insights
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Borrowing Restraint Elsewhere Makes Room for Federal Debt Surge

Partly as a means of offsetting the loss of business activity to deleveraging by households, businesses, as well as state and local governments, the federal government's share of the U.S.' broadest estimate of public and ....

February 2018 Pdf
Whitepaper

Economic Capital Model Validation: A Comparative Study

Using a long history of public firm defaults from Moody's Investor Services and Moody's Analytics, this study illustrates a validation approach for jointly testing the impact of PD and correlation upon model performance. ....

February 2018 Pdf
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Declining Default Rate Offsets Drag of Higher Interest Rates

Corporate bond yield spreads have been relatively steady throughout recent equity market tumult. Expectations of a declining high-yield default rate into early 2019 have anchored corporate yield spreads.

February 2018 Pdf