Head of Latin America Economic Research
Alfredo Coutiño is the Head of Latin America Economic Research at Moody’s Analytics, responsible for real-time and regular analysis, modeling and forecasting for Latin America.
Alfredo has more than 25 years experience in macroeconomic analysis and policy, economic consulting, econometric modeling and forecasting for Mexico and Latin America. He has also published papers on applied econometrics with Nobel laureate Lawrence Klein. An experienced speaker, Alfredo is regularly featured on major Latin American news programs and has presented at the United Nations conferences and at the American Economic Association. Dr. Coutino received his PhD in economics from the University of Madrid after completing doctoral studies at Temple University.
América Latina se encamina a su segundo año de recuperación en el 2019, con una mejoría más generalizada a nivel de países.
We assess the economic consequences for Latin America should the trade truce between the U.S. and China fail to hold.
A severely adverse economic scenario in the U.S. will cause severe damage to Mexico's economy. If the Federal Reserve's severe scenario to test the strength and resilience of banking institutions materializes, Mexico's economy would suffer profoundly. The negative consequences will surpass in magnitude and duration those faced by the Mexican economy during the global recession in 2008-2009.