Katrina Ell, an economist based in Sydney, manages the Asia-Pacific edition of Economy.com and is responsible for economic research, analysis and forecasting of countries throughout the region. Katrina joined Moody’s Analytics in 2010 and is quoted frequently in international media, including CNBC, Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times and Sky News. Previously, she was an analyst at the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority. .
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After shrinking by 0.6% year over year during January-September 2019, yearlong 2019's core after-tax profits may be unchanged annually, at best.
An overvalued equity market increases the risk of a deep sell-off of equities that will damage corporate credit.
High-yield bonds have rallied mightily despite the lack of any observable broad-based acceleration of either business sales or corporate earnings
Following Jerome Powell's testimony of December 11, Moody's long-term Baa industrial company bond yield fell to 3.98%, which was its lowest close since the 3.95% of August 28, 2019.
More than 20% of the European Union's population is at least 65 years of age. Partly because of an unprecedented aging of the EU's slowly growing population, the average annual rate of economic growth for the EU has slowed from the 2.7% of 2004-2007 to the projected 1.2% of 2019-2020.
U.S. business activity has not been exceeding its reach, and that will help extend the long-lived bull market and record-long economic recovery.