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    Katrina Ell

    Sydney-based economist responsible for research and analysis of economies throughout the Asia-Pacific region, as well as management of the Asia-Pacific edition of Economy.com.

    Katrina Ell, an economist based in Sydney, manages the Asia-Pacific edition of Economy.com and is responsible for economic research, analysis and forecasting of countries throughout the region. Katrina joined Moody’s Analytics in 2010 and is quoted frequently in international media, including CNBC, Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times and Sky News. Previously, she was an analyst at the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority. .

    Macquarie University : Currently pursuing Masters degree in Applied Economics
    Macquarie University : Bachelor of Economics with Honours, Economics
    Moody's Analytics | Economic Forecasts

    Economic Forecasts: Moody's Analytics provides trusted macro and regional forecasts to help clients assess potential economic outcomes.

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    Economic Research: Moody's Analytics provides comprehensive economic analysis to help clients understand key economic drivers across all geographic levels.

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    Economic Scenarios: Moody's Analytics provides internally and globally consistent economic, regulatory, and custom scenarios.


    Economic Forecasts: Forecasts potential economic outcomes on the performance of businesses and investments.

    Economic Risk Assessment: Quantitative economic assessment to help you understand the impact of forward-looking changes on the performance of your business and portfolios.

    Econometric Modeling: Fully transparent econometric and statistical models to assess performance of geographies, financials and various asset classes.

    Published Work

    Weekly Market Outlook: Positive Earnings Outlook Requires Flat to Lower Interest Rates

    After shrinking by 0.6% year over year during January-September 2019, yearlong 2019's core after-tax profits may be unchanged annually, at best.

    January 2020

    Weekly Market Outlook: Overvalued Equities Increase Corporate Credit's Downside Risk

    An overvalued equity market increases the risk of a deep sell-off of equities that will damage corporate credit.

    January 2020

    Weekly Market Outlook: High-Yield Rating Changes Say High-Yield Bond Spread Is Too Thin

    High-yield bonds have rallied mightily despite the lack of any observable broad-based acceleration of either business sales or corporate earnings

    December 2019

    Weekly Market Outlook: Richly Valued Equities Offset Record High Ratio of Corporate Debt to GDP

    Following Jerome Powell's testimony of December 11, Moody's long-term Baa industrial company bond yield fell to 3.98%, which was its lowest close since the 3.95% of August 28, 2019.

    December 2019

    Weekly Market Outlook: Return of Christmas Past Does Not Impend

    More than 20% of the European Union's population is at least 65 years of age. Partly because of an unprecedented aging of the EU's slowly growing population, the average annual rate of economic growth for the EU has slowed from the 2.7% of 2004-2007 to the projected 1.2% of 2019-2020.

    December 2019

    Weekly Market Outlook: Next Plunge by Profits to Drive Leverage Up to 2009 High

    U.S. business activity has not been exceeding its reach, and that will help extend the long-lived bull market and record-long economic recovery.

    November 2019