Article
Based on simulations of the Moody's Analytics model of the global economy, this paper examines the consequences for the U.S. and global economies in different scenarios regarding how the trade war between the U.S. and China will unfold.
Webinar-on-Demand
Recession risks are uncomfortably high and rising, as President Trump continues to pursue his trade war with China.
Article
The global economy is navigating troubled waters. The unresolved and significant geopolitical risks plaguing the global economy are exacerbating the slowdown in demand.
Article
With many of the larger SEC filers well ahead in their CECL preparations and gearing up for validation, we examine how the requirements of an R&S forecast and reversion may be interpreted.
Webinar-on-Demand
The effects of climate change will intensify throughout the century, resulting in profound changes in climate patterns across the globe.
Article
Based on an update of the economy's structural variables, the Central Bank of Chile relaxed monetary conditions in June. Using statistical methods, we arrived at the same conclusion in terms of Chile's potential output; however, the estimation of monetary neutrality changes significantly with the new methodology to compute inflation and with the change in expectations of the monetary policy rate. The high sensitivity of estimates of non observable variables––such as potential output and neutral interest rate––can lead to monetary decisions that may become inconsistent.
Article
We examine the physical risk and quantify the economic costs of climate change using the Moody's Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model.
Article
Rate cut or not, the Federal Reserve's easing bias is a relief for the region.
Presentation
Industry data can be leveraged for CECL when lender-specific data is not complete.
Webinar-on-Demand
Join Moody's Analytics' Scott Hoyt and Deniz Tudor, as they discuss the current and anticipated trends in household credit conditions based on data from Equifax.
Article
Using the Moody's Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model to estimate the potential impact of BRI-related investments on Southeast Asian countries.
Webinar-on-Demand
The region's economies should steadily grow, but the risks are mounting.
