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Moody's Analytics Insights

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Moody's Analytics Webinar: Briefing on the CCAR Scenarios

The Federal Reserve have released its scenarios for the 2019 CCAR stress test. Listen as Mark Zandi and Cristian deRitis discuss the narratives behind the Fed's scenarios under forecasts of detailed economic variables.

February 2019

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Moody's Analytics Webinar: 2019 Middle East Outlook – A Rosy Future for Oil Exporters

In this webinar, Moody's Analytics economists discuss Middle East's macroeconomic outlook with particular focus on the prospects for the Emirati and Saudi economies.

February 2019
Moody's Analytics

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Moody's Analytics: 2019 U.S. Macro Outlook - From Virtuous to Vicious Cycle

The next recession is coming into view but probably will not arrive in the coming year as many seem to fear.

January 2019

Article
illuminated charts and graphs

Some Rising Pressure Points in Global Debt

Global leverage has been rising as a share of GDP over the past decade. This is a growing concern, as questions around sustainability loom large in some pockets. Also, although global financial conditions remain largely accommodative, debt servicing costs will continue rising over the next year after an extended period of low borrowing costs, putting pressure on balance sheets.

January 2019
Steven Cochrane, Katrina Ell

Article
illuminated charts and graphs

Japan Outlook: Brave Face Fronting Oncoming Challenges

Moody's Analytics outlook for Japan suggests GDP will grow near its potential pace, which hovers from 0.5% to 1%.

January 2019
Steven Cochrane, Faraz Syed

Article
illuminated charts and graphs

Vietnam Outlook: Resiliency Amid Emerging Market Uncertainty

Vietnam's expansion has charged ahead despite the recent financial and trade turmoil inflicting pain across Southeast Asia's emerging markets Moody's Analytics estimates output growth at 6.7% in 2018.

January 2019

Article
illuminated charts and graphs

China's Provincial Economies: Growing Together or Pulling Apart?

In this paper, we examine regional patterns of economic growth across China's 31 province-level administrative divisions, comparing changes in industrial structure, productivity growth and demographics.

January 2019

Article
illuminated charts and graphs

Modeling Credit Card Losses Under CECL

Through this study, we illustrate the challenges for modelers under CECL and assess the impact of the new accounting standards.

January 2019

Article
illuminated charts and graphs

At a Crossroads: China Taps the Accelerator

With the economy now facing its most vulnerable window of growth since the global financial crisis, it appears the latter is again more of a priority.

December 2018
Steven Cochrane, Katrina Ell

Article
illuminated charts and graphs

Gauging CECL Cyclicality

In this paper, we provide empirical support for the conclusion that the CECL standard will be less procyclical than the incurred loss standard.

December 2018

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Moody's Analytics Webinar: Middle East Outlook – Amidst Uncertainty

In this webinar replay, Moody's Analytics economists discuss the Middle East's macro outlook and analyze economic prospects of MENA oil exporters and importers.

November 2018

Webinar-on-Demand
Concept of Growth created from three glasses with increasing  levels of water.

CECL for Consumer Lending Portfolios - Checklist

As internal model development and use of vendor models for CECL submission are fast in progress for those submitting by January 2020, our analystsreview a checklist that will help you organize CECL project plans.

November 2018
Moody's Analytics,  David FieldhouseDr. Deniz Tudor