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Cristian is a senior director who develops credit models for a variety of asset classes. His regular analysis and commentary on consumer credit, housing, mortgage markets, securitization, and financial regulatory reform appear on Economy.com and in publications such as The Wall Street Journal and The New York Times. Cristian has a PhD in economics from Johns Hopkins University and is named on two US patents for credit modeling techniques.

Related Insights
FAQ

CECL Roundtable FAQs

An open dialogue around economic forecasting techniques for calculating life-of-loan expected credit losses.

November 2018 Pdf Dr. Sohini Chowdhury, Dr. Cristian deRitis
Article

Mean Reversion in CECL: The What and the How

With the CECL guidelines on mean reversion open to multiple interpretations, our paper discusses some approaches institutions can take for reversion beyond the reasonable and supportable horizon.

October 2018 Pdf Dr. Sohini Chowdhury, Dr. Cristian deRitis
Article

CECLnomics and the Promise of Countercyclical Loss Accounting

In this study, we address these shortcomings by utilizing data that track loan volume and performance to ascertain CECL's cyclical impact.

October 2018 Pdf Dr. Cristian deRitis
Article

Beyond Theory: A Practical Guide to Using Economic Forecasts for CECL Estimates

In this paper, we discuss some of the options that institutions have for incorporating economic forecasts into their expected loan loss reserve calculations. We discuss the benefits and costs of each approach and provide practical recommendations based on institution size and complexity.

August 2018 Pdf Dr. Sohini Chowdhury, Dr. Cristian deRitis
Presentation

Be Reasonable: Creating Supportable Forecast Scenarios for CECL

This presentation discusses the CECL requirement of reasonable and supportable forecasts. We discuss what makes an economic scenario reasonable and supportable and discusses structural forecast model methodology. We also compare customized, standard and off-the-shelf scenarios and examine forecasting credit losses.

June 2018 Pdf Dr. Cristian deRitis
Webinar-on-Demand

President Trump's Tariffs – Assessing the Impact of Various Trade Scenarios

In this webinar, Mark Zandi and our team of economists use the Moody’s Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model to assess the impact of various trade scenarios.

April 2018 WebPage Mark Zandi, Dr. Cristian deRitis, Marisa DiNatale
Webinar-on-Demand

The Transition to CECL: IFRS 9 Lessons Learned, Part 2

In this video webcast, we identify the critical components needed for a successful CECL implementation and the new considerations it also brings.

February 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis, Michael Gullette, Masha Muzyka
Webinar-on-Demand

The Transition to CECL: Disclosures, Part 4

In this video webcast, we identify the critical components needed for a successful CECL implementation and the new considerations it also brings.

February 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis, Michael Gullette, Masha Muzyka
Webinar-on-Demand

The Transition to CECL: Implementation Considerations, Part 3

In this video webcast, we identify the critical components needed for a successful CECL implementation and the new considerations it also brings.

February 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis, Michael Gullette, Masha Muzyka
Webinar-on-Demand

The Transition to CECL: Final Picture, Part 5

In this video webcast, we identify the critical components needed for a successful CECL implementation and the new considerations it also brings.

February 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis, Michael Gullette, Masha Muzyka
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