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    Are We in a Housing Bubble?

    The single-family market is hot, with house prices surging in much of the country. Is the market a bubble?

    If not, what is driving house prices higher? Are they sustainable, and if not what does it mean for the housing and mortgage markets and the broader economy.

    Join Mark Zandi, Chief Economist; Cris deRitis, Deputy Chief Economist; and Todd Metcalfe, Senior Economist on June 22, 2021, as they discuss the housing market and its impact on the economy.

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    Fiscal State of the Union

    Fiscal policy since the COVID-19 pandemic hit three years ago has been critical in supporting the U.S. economy's quick and full revival.

    March 2023 Pdf Mark Zandi
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Shaken, Not Rattled

    Recent U.S. bank failures are disconcerting to watch, but they are not symptomatic of a serious broader problem in the financial system.

    March 2023 Pdf Mark Zandi, Dante DeAntonio, Stefan Angrick, Olga Bychkova, Jain Illiana, Steven Shields, Bernard Yaros
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    Financial System Shaken, Not Rattled

    Recent U.S. bank failures are disconcerting to watch, but they are not symptomatic of a serious broader problem in the financial system; policymakers' aggressive response should ensure the failures do not weaken the system or the fragile economy.

    March 2023 Pdf Mark Zandi
    Article

    Going Down the Debt Limit Rabbit Hole

    The U.S. Treasury is quickly approaching the X-date—the day it will not have enough cash to pay all of the federal government's bills on time.

    March 2023 Pdf Mark Zandi
    Article

    Debt Limit Brinkmanship (Again)

    Odds that lawmakers blunder either out of intent or ineptness are uncomfortably high

    January 2023 Pdf Mark Zandi
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    Slowcession

    Recession is a serious threat. But the Moody's Analytics baseline forecast—the most-likely outlook—holds that the economy will avoid a downturn. Call it a slowcession.

    January 2023 Pdf Mark Zandi
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    The Macroeconomic Cost of Climate Inaction

    Rising global temperatures caused by increasing greenhouse gas pollution pose substantial risks to the global economy.

    November 2022 Pdf Bernard Yaros, Chris Lafakis, Mark Zandi
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Vulnerable U.S. Economy Faces Test

    OPEC+ announced a significant cut to its collective output limit, just as the U.S. economy is vulnerable and financial market conditions have tightened.

    October 2022 Pdf Ryan Sweet, Mark Zandi, Steven Shields, Jain Illiana
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    Weekly Market Outlook: No Clipping Hawks' Wings

    If there was any doubt that the Federal Reserve was serious about taming inflation, it should be gone after the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee as it hiked the target range for the fed funds rate by 75 basis points and signaled a noticeably higher terminal rate than previously thought.

    September 2022 Pdf Ryan Sweet, Jain Illiana, Steven CochraneMark Zandi
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    Playing a Dangerous Game With the Debt Limit

    Treasury has been using its available cash to pay its bills, but by mid- to late October those funds will be exhausted. Someone would not get paid in a timely way.

    September 2022 Pdf Mark Zandi, Bernard Yaros
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