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    The Road Ahead for Credit Unions

    We examine the impact of COVID-19 on consumer credit incorporating scenarios assumptions.

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    Driving to Default in Unaffordable Used Cars

    Driving to Default in Unaffordable Used Cars

    September 2023 Pdf David Fieldhouse, Alex Hedgren
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    Credit Cards Enter Choppy Waters

    Balances and delinquencies will rise quickly for all borrowers.

    March 2023 WebPage David Fieldhouse, Alex Hedgren
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    Increased Uncertainty for Auto Leases

    Increased Uncertainty for Auto Leases

    January 2023 WebPage Arman Mkhitaryan, David Fieldhouse
    Article

    Holiday Prep: Can Home Furnishers Outshine Increasing Credit Risk?

    Using forward-looking credit risk signals and actionable insights from the Early Warning System in the EDF-X solution, we capture the earliest signs of credit deterioration for Bed Bath & Beyond beginning in October 2018.

    October 2022 WebPage David HamiltonDavid Fieldhouse, Ryan Donahue
    Article

    Buy Now, Pay Later... Hopefully

    Recently, Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) services have emerged as a viable alternative to traditional credit. However, new regulations and weaker than expected performance in this space highlight the risk of this debt for both consumers and lenders.

    June 2022 WebPage Timothy Daigle, David Fieldhouse, Reginald White
    Article

    Clearing the Fog: Proxy Valuations of Russian Firms Using CDS-Implied EDFs

    In times of credit stress, however, we observe increased anticorrelation between CDS-implied EDF, equity-implied EDF values, and changes in market capitalization, hinting at a powerful credit signal for equity analysis and valuation in crises.

    April 2022 WebPage Lily Francus, Michael Zeng, Dr. Sohini Chowdhury
    Article

    The Storm Ahead for Mortgage Default Models

    Extreme climate-related events can impact local mortgage models and increase the risk of default. Using Moody’s Analytics Portfolio Analyzer’s extreme events credit forecasting capabilities, we can quantify and refine Ida’s impact on Louisiana mortgages.

    November 2021 WebPage David Fieldhouse, Pouyan Mashayekh, Ziv Rubin
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Moody's Analytics U.S. Consumer Credit Outlook

    Join Moody’s Analytics Scott Hoyt and David Fieldhouse as they discuss the current and anticipated trends in household credit conditions based on data from Equifax.

    May 2021 WebPage Scott Hoyt, David Fieldhouse
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Moody's Analytics & Raymond James In Conversation: The Year Ahead - An Update on Mortgages

    Join us for the 4th webinar in our series: Moody’s Analytics & Raymond James in Conversation where we will discuss the outlook for mortgages and their impact on banks, credit unions, non-banks, and mortgage lending.

    May 2021 WebPage Cristian deRitisDavid Fieldhouse
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Canadian Consumer Credit Outlook: Recovery Interrupted

    Join us as we discuss the current and anticipated trends for Canadian household credit conditions based on data from Equifax and Moody's Analytics macro and regional economic forecasts.

    March 2021 WebPage James Partridge, David Fieldhouse
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