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    Moody’s Analytics Webinar: Briefing on the CCAR Scenarios

    The Federal Reserve have released its scenarios for the 2019 CCAR stress test. Listen as Mark Zandi and Cristian deRitis discuss the narratives behind the Fed’s scenarios under forecasts of detailed economic variables.

    Our experts answer key questions, including: 

    • How severe are the Fed’s scenarios?
    • Are the scenarios internally consistent?
    • What are possible narratives driving the scenarios?
    • How do this year’s scenarios compare with last year’s?
    • What is the probability of the Fed scenarios?
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    Moody's Analytics Webinar: Who Will Be the Next President?

    In this timely webinar, Mark Zandi, Dan White, Bernard Yaros and the Moody's Analytics team examine the prospects for the U.S. presidential election based on their modeling of the past 10 Presidential elections.

    October 17, 2019 WebPage Mark Zandi
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    2020 Presidential Election Model

    The economy may not be top of mind for voters in every election, but it is hardly ever further than a close second. This is the principle underpinning Moody's Analytics presidential election models.

    October 2019 Pdf Mark ZandiDan White
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    The Next Recession - APAC Edition

    Recession risks are uncomfortably high and rising, as President Trump continues to pursue his trade war with China.

    September 2019 Pdf Steven CochraneKatrina EllMark Zandi
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    Evaluating Senator Warren's Social Security Reform Plan

    This brief paper outlines Senator Warren's reform plan and evaluates its actuarial, macroeconomic and distributional impacts.

    September 2019 Pdf Mark Zandi
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    Trade War Chicken: The Tariffs and the Damage Done

    Based on simulations of the Moody's Analytics model of the global economy, this paper examines the consequences for the U.S. and global economies in different scenarios regarding how the trade war between the U.S. and China will unfold.

    September 2019 Pdf Mark ZandiJesse Rogers

    Moody's Analytics Webinar: The Next Recession

    Climate Change Scenarios

    September 03, 2019 WebPage Mark Zandi
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Webinar: The Next Recession - APAC Edition

    Recession risks are uncomfortably high and rising, as President Trump continues to pursue his trade war with China.

    September 2019 WebPage Mark ZandiSteven CochraneKatrina Ell
    Webinar-on-Demand

    The Next Recession

    Recession risks are uncomfortably high and rising, as President Trump continues to pursue his trade war with China.

    September 2019 WebPage Mark ZandiSteven CochraneRyan Sweet
    Article

    Household Credit Conditions Never Better

    More than a decade after the financial crisis that was caused in significant part by debt-burdened households, there is no indication that household debt will be at the center of the next economic recession.

    August 2019 Pdf Mark Zandi
    Article

    Reasonable and Supportable Forecasts - From Principles to Practice

    With many of the larger SEC filers well ahead in their CECL preparations and gearing up for validation, we examine how the requirements of an R&S forecast and reversion may be interpreted.

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