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    Moody’s Analytics Webinar: Briefing on the CCAR Scenarios

    The Federal Reserve have released its scenarios for the 2019 CCAR stress test. Listen as Mark Zandi and Cristian deRitis discuss the narratives behind the Fed’s scenarios under forecasts of detailed economic variables.

    Our experts answer key questions, including: 

    • How severe are the Fed’s scenarios?
    • Are the scenarios internally consistent?
    • What are possible narratives driving the scenarios?
    • How do this year’s scenarios compare with last year’s?
    • What is the probability of the Fed scenarios?
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    Household Credit Conditions Never Better

    More than a decade after the financial crisis that was caused in significant part by debt-burdened households, there is no indication that household debt will be at the center of the next economic recession.

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    Moody's Analytics Webinar: The Economic Implications of Climate Change

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    The Economic Implications of Climate Change

    The effects of climate change will intensify throughout the century, resulting in profound changes in climate patterns across the globe.

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    Reasonable and Supportable Forecasts - From Principles to Practice

    With many of the larger SEC filers well ahead in their CECL preparations and gearing up for validation, we examine how the requirements of an R&S forecast and reversion may be interpreted.

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    Economic Implications of Climate Change

    We examine the physical risk and quantify the economic costs of climate change using the Moody's Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model.

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    Weekly Market Outlook: Global Collapse by Bond Yields Stems From Worldwide Slowdown

    Both the corporate bond and equity markets responded positively to the latest drop by Treasury bond yields and the likelihood of at least two reductions of the federal funds rate during the remainder of 2019.

    June 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung ChoiKatrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Mark ZandiRyan Sweet, Steven Shields
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    Defining Economic Scenarios With Constant Severities

    Alternative economic scenarios are invaluable for quantifying and managing forecast risk. In this article, we define these constant severity scenarios and the models used to estimate their probabilities.

    Moody's Analytics Webinar: Trade War Update - Will Trump Push Too Far?

    President Trump has escalated the trade war with China, and nearly everyone has been wrong-footed by the move.

    May 20, 2019 WebPage Mark ZandiRyan SweetDr. Cristian deRitis
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    Trade War Update - Will Trump Push Too Far?

    President Trump has escalated the trade war with China, and nearly everyone has been wrong-footed by the move.

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