Featured Product

    Briefing on the CCAR Scenarios

    The Federal Reserve has released its scenarios for the 2018 CCAR stress test. Join Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team as they discuss the narratives behind the Fed’s scenarios under forecasts of more than 1,500 detailed economic variables.

    Our experts will answer key questions, including:

    • How severe are the Fed’s scenarios?

    • Are the scenarios internally consistent?

    • What are possible narratives driving the scenarios?

    • How do this year’s scenarios compare with last year’s?

    • What is the probability of the Fed scenarios?

    Related Articles
    Article

    Evaluating Senator Warren's Social Security Reform Plan

    This brief paper outlines Senator Warren's reform plan and evaluates its actuarial, macroeconomic and distributional impacts.

    September 2019 Pdf Mark Zandi
    Article

    Trade War Chicken: The Tariffs and the Damage Done

    Based on simulations of the Moody's Analytics model of the global economy, this paper examines the consequences for the U.S. and global economies in different scenarios regarding how the trade war between the U.S. and China will unfold.

    September 2019 Pdf Mark ZandiJesse Rogers

    Moody's Analytics Webinar: The Next Recession

    Climate Change Scenarios

    September 03, 2019 WebPage Mark Zandi
    Webinar-on-Demand

    The Next Recession

    Recession risks are uncomfortably high and rising, as President Trump continues to pursue his trade war with China.

    September 2019 WebPage Mark ZandiSteven CochraneRyan Sweet
    Article

    Household Credit Conditions Never Better

    More than a decade after the financial crisis that was caused in significant part by debt-burdened households, there is no indication that household debt will be at the center of the next economic recession.

    August 2019 Pdf Mark Zandi

    Moody's Analytics Webinar: The Economic Implications of Climate Change

    Climate Change Scenarios

    August 08, 2019 WebPage Mark Zandi, Chris Lafakis
    Webinar-on-Demand

    The Economic Implications of Climate Change

    The effects of climate change will intensify throughout the century, resulting in profound changes in climate patterns across the globe.

    August 2019 WebPage Mark Zandi, Chris Lafakis
    Article

    Economic Implications of Climate Change

    We examine the physical risk and quantify the economic costs of climate change using the Moody's Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model.

    June 2019 Pdf Mark Zandi
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Global Collapse by Bond Yields Stems From Worldwide Slowdown

    Both the corporate bond and equity markets responded positively to the latest drop by Treasury bond yields and the likelihood of at least two reductions of the federal funds rate during the remainder of 2019.

    June 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung ChoiKatrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Mark ZandiRyan Sweet, Steven Shields

    Moody's Analytics Webinar: Trade War Update - Will Trump Push Too Far?

    President Trump has escalated the trade war with China, and nearly everyone has been wrong-footed by the move.

    May 20, 2019 WebPage Mark ZandiRyan SweetDr. Cristian deRitis
    RESULTS 1 - 10 OF 48