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In this presentation, Mark Zandi presents his outlook for the global economy.

Related Insights
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Baa-Grade Credits Dominate U.S. Investment-Grade Rating Revisions

In 2018's final quarter, the 22 downgrades of U.S. investment-grade companies included nine that were at least partly ascribed to mergers, acquisitions and divestitures and three that were linked to equity buybacks. Only half, or 11, of fourth-quarter 2018's U.S. investment-grade downgrades were primarily driven by worsened operating or market fundamentals.

January 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Mark Zandi, Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez

2019 U.S. Macro Outlook: From Virtuous to Vicious Cycle

In this webinar, Chief Economist Mark Zandi, will share his outlook for the economy, including why 2019 should be another reasonably good year, the threats to this expectation and why a downturn early in the next decade is more likely.

January 15, 2019 WebPage Mark Zandi
Webinar-on-Demand

Moody's Analytics: 2019 U.S. Macro Outlook - From Virtuous to Vicious Cycle

The next recession is coming into view but probably will not arrive in the coming year as many seem to fear.

January 2019 WebPage Mark Zandi
Article

Gauging CECL Cyclicality

In this paper, we provide empirical support for the conclusion that the CECL standard will be less procyclical than the incurred loss standard.

December 2018 Pdf Mark Zandi, Dr. Cristian deRitis
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Pride and Protectionism: U.S. Trade Policy and Its Impact on Asia

Crafting economically sound trade policy is easier said than done.

October 2018 Pdf Mark Zandi, Steven CochraneRyan Sweet
Webinar-on-Demand

Moody's Analytics Webinar: No Brexit to No Deal

The Brexit saga is quickly coming to a head, but it is increasingly unclear which direction it is headed.

October 2018 WebPage Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Mark Zandi

Moody's Analytics Webinar: No Brexit to No Deal

The Brexit saga is quickly coming to a head, but it is increasingly unclear which direction it is headed. Join Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team as they assess the global macroeconomic implications of the range of possible scenarios from No Brexit to No Deal.

October 12, 2018 WebPage Mark Zandi, Barbara Teixeira Araujo
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Significant Differences, Eerie Similarities

The U.S. business cycle has entered its boom phase. This is a period that typically comes closer to the end of the cycle, just prior to a recession. It is characterized by robust economic growth, tightening labor and product markets, intensifying wage and price pressures, monetary tightening, and higher interest rates. Another feature of the boom phase of a business cycle is excessive risk-taking somewhere in the financial system. This fuels the boom and is eventually at the center of the subsequent bust. Subprime mortgage loans were the obvious culprit a decade ago, runaway internet stocks that pumped up a stock market bubble were the problem in the early-2000s recession, and the savings and loan crisis incited the early 1990s downturn.

August 2018 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Njundu Sanneh, Mark Zandi, Ryan Sweet, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Katrina Ell, Faraz Syed

Trade War Scenarios

Fill out this form to request more information on our Trade War Scenarios. Moody's Analytics scenarios are the foundation of risk management, compliance and strategic planning needs

July 17, 2018 WebPage Mark Zandi
Article

Trump Trade War

Using the Moody's Analytics model of the global economy, we consider the economic fallout of an escalating Trump trade war.

July 2018 Pdf Mark Zandi
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