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In this presentation, Mark Zandi presents his outlook for the global economy.

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In 2018's final quarter, the 22 downgrades of U.S. investment-grade companies included nine that were at least partly ascribed to mergers, acquisitions and divestitures and three that were linked to equity buybacks. Only half, or 11, of fourth-quarter 2018's U.S. investment-grade downgrades were primarily driven by worsened operating or market fundamentals.

January 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Mark Zandi, Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez

2019 U.S. Macro Outlook: From Virtuous to Vicious Cycle

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Moody's Analytics: 2019 U.S. Macro Outlook - From Virtuous to Vicious Cycle

The next recession is coming into view but probably will not arrive in the coming year as many seem to fear.

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Gauging CECL Cyclicality

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Moody's Analytics Webinar: No Brexit to No Deal

The Brexit saga is quickly coming to a head, but it is increasingly unclear which direction it is headed.

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Moody's Analytics Webinar: No Brexit to No Deal

The Brexit saga is quickly coming to a head, but it is increasingly unclear which direction it is headed. Join Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team as they assess the global macroeconomic implications of the range of possible scenarios from No Brexit to No Deal.

October 12, 2018 WebPage Mark Zandi, Barbara Teixeira Araujo

Weekly Market Outlook: Significant Differences, Eerie Similarities

The U.S. business cycle has entered its boom phase. This is a period that typically comes closer to the end of the cycle, just prior to a recession. It is characterized by robust economic growth, tightening labor and product markets, intensifying wage and price pressures, monetary tightening, and higher interest rates. Another feature of the boom phase of a business cycle is excessive risk-taking somewhere in the financial system. This fuels the boom and is eventually at the center of the subsequent bust. Subprime mortgage loans were the obvious culprit a decade ago, runaway internet stocks that pumped up a stock market bubble were the problem in the early-2000s recession, and the savings and loan crisis incited the early 1990s downturn.

August 2018 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Njundu Sanneh, Mark Zandi, Ryan Sweet, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Katrina Ell, Faraz Syed

Trade War Scenarios

Fill out this form to request more information on our Trade War Scenarios. Moody's Analytics scenarios are the foundation of risk management, compliance and strategic planning needs

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Trump Trade War

Using the Moody's Analytics model of the global economy, we consider the economic fallout of an escalating Trump trade war.

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