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September 2017

In this webinar replay, Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team examine the economic impact on the national and regional economy.

Mark Zandi, Chief Economist, and the Moody's Analytics team discuss the economic impact of Hurricane Irma including:

  • How much property damage resulted from Irma?
  • What is the hurricane's economic impact on Florida and the rest of the southeastern U.S.?
  • What is the fallout on industries and government finances?

Related Insights
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: High-Yield Might Yet Be Challenged by a Worsened Business Outlook

High-yield bonds have led the credit market in total return thus far in 2019. After soaring from 6.32% at the end of September to 8.06% by year-end 2018, a composite speculative-grade bond yield has dropped to February 20's 6.79%.

February 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez
Presentation

US States Preparedness for the Next Recession

Moody's Analytics performs annual stress tests on state government budgets - estimating the amount of fiscal stress likely to be applied to state budgets under different recession scenarios and comparing that to what states have in reserve. This year's exercise also looks at how economic stress translates to public pensions.

February 2019 Pdf Dan White
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Default Outlook Again Defies Unmatched Ratio of Corporate Debt to GDP

In terms of a moving yearlong average, U.S. nonfinancial corporate debt rose to a record high 46.0% of GDP as of the span-ended September 2018. Nonfinancial corporate debt's 6.4% year-over-year increase for the 12-months-ended September 2018 outran nominal GDP's comparably measured rise of 5.0%.

February 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez
Webinar-on-Demand

Moody's Analytics Webinar: Briefing on the CCAR Scenarios

The Federal Reserve have released its scenarios for the 2019 CCAR stress test. Listen as Mark Zandi and Cristian deRitis discuss the narratives behind the Fed’s scenarios under forecasts of detailed economic variables.

February 2019 WebPage Mark ZandiDr. Cristian deRitis

Moody's Analytics Webinar: Briefing on the CCAR Scenarios

The Federal Reserve will release its scenarios for the 2019 CCAR stress test. Join Mark Zandi and Cristian deRitis as they discuss the narratives behind the Fed’s scenarios under forecasts of detailed economic variables.

February 11, 2019 WebPage Mark ZandiDr. Cristian deRitis
Article

Trump Trade War: An Uneasy Truce

Using the Moody's Analytics model of the global economy, we consider the fallout if current negotiations break down and trade tensions between the two economic giants reignite.

February 2019 Pdf Mark Zandi
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Fed's Pause May Refresh a Tiring Economic Recovery

As high ranking Federal Reserve officials reiterated many times earlier, monetary policy is not on a preset course.

January 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Veasna Kong, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Rising Default Rate May Be Difficult to Cap

Because of its acute sensitivity to the business-cycle and corporate earnings, the high-yield credit market will have more to worry about this year.

January 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Baa-Grade Credits Dominate U.S. Investment-Grade Rating Revisions

In 2018's final quarter, the 22 downgrades of U.S. investment-grade companies included nine that were at least partly ascribed to mergers, acquisitions and divestitures and three that were linked to equity buybacks. Only half, or 11, of fourth-quarter 2018's U.S. investment-grade downgrades were primarily driven by worsened operating or market fundamentals.

January 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Mark ZandiRyan Sweet, Michael Ferlez

2019 U.S. Macro Outlook: From Virtuous to Vicious Cycle

In this webinar, Chief Economist Mark Zandi, will share his outlook for the economy, including why 2019 should be another reasonably good year, the threats to this expectation and why a downturn early in the next decade is more likely.

January 15, 2019 WebPage Mark Zandi
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