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September 2017

In this webinar replay, Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team examine the economic impact on the national and regional economy, including the effect on GDP, corporate profits, gas prices, as well as property damage estimates for infrastructure, real estate and vehicles.

Hurricane Harvey is poised to become one of the costliest natural disasters in U.S. history. It will take a significant toll on Southeast Texas, but is unlikely to be a macroeconomic event. Harvey could leave a small but temporary mark on U.S. GDP that likely won't be enormous unless there are significant disruptions to the energy industry.

Chief Economist Mark Zandi discusses the economic impact of Hurricane Harvey including:

  • What is the hurricane's immediate impact on the regional and national economies?
  • What are the implications for the U.S. energy industry?

Related Articles
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Fed Will Cut Rates If 10-Year Yield Breaks Under 2.4%

The Treasury bond market was stunned by the drop in the Federal Open Market Committee's “dot chart” projection for year-end 2019 fed funds' midpoint from the 2.875% of December 2018's projection to 2.375% as of March 2019's projection.

March 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Riskier Outlook May Slow Corporate Debt Growth in 2019

The latest version of the Federal Reserve's “Financial Accounts of the United States” was released on March 7. As of 2018's final quarter, the total outstandings of private and public nonfinancial-sector debt grew by 5.1% year-to-year to a record high $51.796 trillion.

March 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Replay of Late 1998's Drop by Interest Rates May Materialize

Weakness abroad and a faltering demand for U.S. output now put downward pressure on both earnings-sensitive securities' prices and benchmark Treasury yields. The equity and high-yield credit rallies will be put on hold until the earnings outlook stabilizes.

March 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Moody's Yield Averages Enter Their 100th Year

Two milestones will be arrived at in 2019. First, but not necessarily the foremost, Moody's corporate bond yield averages will record their 100th anniversary in 2019.

February 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina EllSteven Cochrane, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: High-Yield Might Yet Be Challenged by a Worsened Business Outlook

High-yield bonds have led the credit market in total return thus far in 2019. After soaring from 6.32% at the end of September to 8.06% by year-end 2018, a composite speculative-grade bond yield has dropped to February 20's 6.79%.

February 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Default Outlook Again Defies Unmatched Ratio of Corporate Debt to GDP

In terms of a moving yearlong average, U.S. nonfinancial corporate debt rose to a record high 46.0% of GDP as of the span-ended September 2018. Nonfinancial corporate debt's 6.4% year-over-year increase for the 12-months-ended September 2018 outran nominal GDP's comparably measured rise of 5.0%.

February 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez

Moody's Analytics Webinar: Briefing on the CCAR Scenarios

The Federal Reserve will release its scenarios for the 2019 CCAR stress test. Join Mark Zandi and Cristian deRitis as they discuss the narratives behind the Fed’s scenarios under forecasts of detailed economic variables.

February 11, 2019 WebPage Mark ZandiDr. Cristian deRitis
Webinar-on-Demand

Moody's Analytics Webinar: Briefing on the CCAR Scenarios

The Federal Reserve have released its scenarios for the 2019 CCAR stress test. Listen as Mark Zandi and Cristian deRitis discuss the narratives behind the Fed’s scenarios under forecasts of detailed economic variables.

February 2019 WebPage Mark ZandiDr. Cristian deRitis
Article

Trump Trade War: An Uneasy Truce

Using the Moody's Analytics model of the global economy, we consider the fallout if current negotiations break down and trade tensions between the two economic giants reignite.

February 2019 Pdf Mark Zandi
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Fed's Pause May Refresh a Tiring Economic Recovery

As high ranking Federal Reserve officials reiterated many times earlier, monetary policy is not on a preset course.

January 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Veasna Kong, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez
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