Article
Canada's housing market is starting to feel the effects of federal and provincial government restrictions, and now the Bank of Canada has also started its long-awaited tightening of interest rates
September 2017
Andres Carbacho-Burgos
Article
The housing market in Canada seems to have stabilized. House price growth slowed between early last year and the middle of this year, though home sales and house price growth increased in July and August.
October 2018
Andres Carbacho-Burgos
Article
The Canadian housing market is going through a period of decompression
February 2019
Andres Carbacho-Burgos, Andres Carbacho-Burgos
Article
The gradual disinflation in Canada's housing market continues at a steady pace.
May 2019
Andres Carbacho-Burgos
Article
The COVID-19 pandemic drove massive activity in the Canadian housing market.
October 2021
Moody's Analytics
Article
Canada's housing market seems on course for a soft landing given the lack of deterioration in mortgage debt arrears so far.
October 2019
Andres Carbacho-Burgos
Article
Canada's housing market has moved past its previous turning point and seems to have settled into an interlude of slowing house price appreciation, reduced sales, and a looser market in general.
June 2018
Andres Carbacho-Burgos
Article
Canada's housing market vigor will fade as the COVID-19 pandemic will hurt economic growth in 2020. Housing data from February painted a rosy picture for the Canadian housing market, but that was before COVID-19 fears settled in. Shelter-in-place orders and social distancing have brought house hunting to a virtual halt while layoffs, the collapse in oil prices, and the plunge in equity prices have kept prospective buyers at bay.
April 2020
Moody's Analytics
Article
The Canadian housing market continues to weather the storm from the COVID-19 pandemic much better than originally expected at the start of the crisis.
April 2021
Moody's Analytics
Article
The housing market's vigor will fade as high unemployment and lower incomes will restrain buyers' return to the market.
September 2020
Moody's Analytics
Article
According to new forecasts from Moody's Analytics, based on the Brookfield RPS House Price Indices, Canadian house prices will experience slower growth over the next five years, but avoid significant declines at the national level forecasts project that a number of metropolitan areas, most notably Vancouver and Edmonton, will experience some modest price declines in the near-term.
October 2016
Andres Carbacho-Burgos
Canada Housing Market Outlook: Chill in the Air: Surging Interest Rates and the Housing Market's Coming Lull
October 17, 2022
The combination of increased borrowing costs, elevated inflation, and a softening labour market spells the end for the housing boom.
October 25, 2022
Abhilasha Singh
Whitepaper
Canada Housing Market Outlook: More Struggles Ahead
April 2023
Brendan LaCerda, Abhilasha Singh, Sebastian Mintah, George Pinel
Webinar-on-Demand
Listen to the housing experts and authors of the RPS – Moody's Analytics Housing Outlook, the most comprehensive and authoritative Canadian house price forecast solution available, as they provide their insights and report their findings as we enter the spring real estate market.
May 2019
Moody's Analytics
Whitepaper
Canada Housing Market Outlook: Chill in the Air: Surging Interest Rates and the Housing Market's Coming Lull
October 2022
Abhilasha Singh
Article
According to the Brookfield RPS – Moody's Analytics House Price Forecasts, Canada's housing market has slowed, but is still a long way from a correction.
May 2017
Andres Carbacho-Burgos
Presentation
So Far So Good
May 2018
Article
The Federal Reserve will announce that it is accelerating its tapering process at the December meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, unless the Omicron variant of COVID-19 becomes a clear threat to the outlook or there is a meaningful risk that the U.S. could temporarily breach the debt ceiling.
December 2021
Ryan Sweet, Adam Kamins, Steven Shields
Article
Earnings-sensitive markets thrived in 2017. Though late 2016's outlook for 2017's pretax operating profits proved to be fairly accurate, the market value of U.S. common stock still soared higher by 18% to a new record high. Several developments explained why the market value of common equity outran the growth of core profits in 2017. First, the market strongly believes in the efficacy of forthcoming tax law changes and has effectively shrugged off whatever harmful effects may arise from a wider federal budget deficit. Moreover, a recent study from Moody's Investors Service concludes that while most US companies will be better off following the enactment of corporate tax reform, at least a quarter of highly-leveraged companies will be worse off.
December 2017
John Lonski, Njundu Sanneh, Franklin Kim, Yukyung Choi, Tomas Holinka , Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Katrina Ell, Faraz Syed
Article
The minutes from the May meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee signal that the central bank wants to quickly and aggressively hike rates at the next couple of meetings to allow officials the ability to pause to assess the effects of policy firming on the economy, inflation and financial markets.
May 2022
Ryan Sweet, Jain Illiana, Adam Kamins, Steven Shields
Article
An abatement of tariff-related fears reduced the uncertainty surrounding a positive outlook for US corporate earnings. In response, the market value of US common stock quickly approached its record high of August 29, 2018. Moreover, high-yield bonds rallied from already richly-priced levels. In turn, a recent composite high-yield bond spread was thinner than 340 basis points (bp) for the first time since the middle of April 2018.
September 2018
John Lonski, Franklin Kim, Yukyung Choi, Ryan Sweet, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Reka Sulyok, Katrina Ell, Faraz Syed
Article
Notwithstanding the occasional jarring setback, the market value of U.S. common stock need only rise by 4.8% in order to return to its record high of January 26, 2018. Such a recovery appears to be well within reach if profits grow. Moreover, the realization of the projected decline by the U.S.' high-yield default rate from April 2018's 3.7% to 1.5% by April 2019 implies a firming of corporate finances that can only facilitate a recovery by share prices.
May 2018
John Lonski, Franklin Kim, Yukyung Choi, Ryan Sweet, Kathryn Asher, Michael Ferlez, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Katrina Ell, Alaistair Chan, Veasna Kong, Faraz Syed
Article
Moody's Analytics baseline outlook calls for a recession-free 2023 in the U.S., though the pace of growth will slow demonstrably.
January 2023
Dante DeAntonio, Denise Cheok, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Scott Hoyt, Steven Shields
Article
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell last week emphasized the degree of uncertainty surrounding the outlook for monetary policy, while reasserting the central bank's commitment to not ease up on the brakes until its 2% inflation target is in sight.
Article
Despite a positive outlook for 2021's corporate earnings, the investment performance of U.S. equities and corporate bonds may be uninspiring at best.
December 2020
John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Michael Ferlez, Adam Kamins
Article
The Federal Open Market Committee, at its September meeting, decided to leave rates unchanged.
September 2023
Dante DeAntonio, Stefan Angrick, Jeemin Bang, Olga Bychkova, Denise Cheok, Scott Hoyt, Harry Murphy Cruise
Article
The recent surge in U.S. inflation has made a mockery of interest rate projections, market-implied and professional forecasts alike.
Article
OPEC+ announced a significant cut to its collective output limit, just as the U.S. economy is vulnerable and financial market conditions have tightened.
October 2022
Ryan Sweet, Mark Zandi, Steven Shields, Jain Illiana
Article
The Federal Open Market Committee, or FOMC, announced a three-quarter point increase to the target range of the fed funds rate.
November 2022
Dante DeAntonio, Bernard Yaros, Katrina Ell
