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    Climate Risk Macroeconomic Forecasting

    The Bank of England will require UK financial institutions to stress-test their balance sheets for climate change risk starting in 2021.

    Download presentation slides.

    Constructing climate change scenarios starts with a trajectory for carbon dioxide emissions, the necessary policies to achieve these emissions, and the corresponding change in global temperatures. Moody’s Analytics is expanding its capabilities to enable institutions to assess risks posed by climate change. The physical and transition impacts on the economy of the temperature change are then determined using our model of the global economy. Our scenarios are consistent with Orderly, Disorderly, and Hot house world scenarios by NGFS. In this webinar we cover:
    • Regulatory environment – NGFS & BoE
    • Modelling framework – physical & transition risk
    • UK & US climate change scenarios

    Speakers

    Luca Magni
    , Associate Director, Business Development, Moody's Analytics (Moderator)
    Petr Zemcik, PhD, Senior Director, EMEA Head of Business Analytics, Moody's Analytics
    Chris Lafakis
    , Director, Climate Risk Economist, Moody’s Analytics
    Janet Lee
    , Director, Economic Research, Moody’s Analytics

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