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    Latin America

    LATIN AMERICA | Moody’s Analytics is a long-standing provider of credit risk solutions in Latin America. Established in the region since 2008, we serve capital markets and risk management professionals in more than 50 institutions locally with market-standard credit risk solutions, professional services, and credit research.

    The company offers unique tools and best practices for measuring and managing risk through expertise and experience in credit analysis, economic research, and financial risk management at the national and subnational levels for Latin America. By providing leading-edge software, advisory services, and research, including the proprietary analysis of Moody’s Investors Service, Moody’s Analytics integrates and customizes its offerings to address specific business challenges. Our team of economists and data specialists produces the most up-to-date forecasts and data updates using processes refined through more than 20 years’ experience in national and subnational research, forecasting, and data collection.

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    Whitepaper

    California Markets and COVID-19

    This whitepaper focused on how the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic will specifically impact California property markets. Get insight into how supply and demand conditions in these markets will contribute to their relative resilience

    April 2020 Pdf Dr. Victor Calanog
    Whitepaper

    The COVID-29 Pandemic and The Retail Debacle

    This analysis explores the challenges that the retail property type will face in the near term, and speculate on its future, post-coronavirus.

    April 2020 Pdf Dr. Victor Calanog
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Global Economic Forecast Update

    With the rapid deterioration in the global economy as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team present an update to our economic outlook.

    March 2020 WebPage Mark Zandi, Ryan Sweet, Cristian deRitis, Ed Friedman
    Article

    Peru's Central Bank Joins the Rate-Cutting Bandwagon

    Monetary policy alone will be insufficient to temper an economic stall-out.

    March 2020 Pdf
    Whitepaper

    Idiosyncratic Shocks and Multifamily Housing: COVID-19 and What We Can Learn from Earthquakes, Hurricanes, and Terrorism

    This study examines case studies from past idiosyncratic shocks for guidance on how both supply- and demand-side factors may change in response to coronavirus and social distancing.

    March 2020 Pdf Dr. Victor Calanog
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Tracking the Impact of COVID-19 on Credit Risk: For Public and Private Firms

    As we observe the turmoil in global equity markets due to COVID-19, we assess its impact on expected loss for both private and public firms.

    March 2020 WebPage Moody's Analytics
    Article

    COVID-19: Global Economic Tsunami

    The onus is now on governments to quickly provide substantial financial support to hard-pressed households and businesses. How much economic damage COVID-19 ultimately does will depend on the trajectory of the virus—and how governments respond.

    March 2020 Pdf Mark Zandi
    Webinar-on-Demand

    COVID-19: Global Recession

    COVID-19 has created a global economic tsunami that is now hitting the United States and Europe with full force.

    March 2020 WebPage Mark Zandi, Ryan Sweet, Cristian deRitis, Steven Cochrane, Adam Kamins, Petr Zemcik
    Whitepaper

    How Bad Can It Get? COVID-19 and The Outlook for CRE

    In this analysis, Dr. Victor Calanog of Moody's Analytics offers insight into how a protracted economic slump might translate to multifamily and commercial real estate fundamentals.

    March 2020 Pdf Dr. Victor Calanog
    Article

    Brazil, Late to Impose Emergency Measures, Faces a Crisis Wide and Deep

    Almost every sector of Brazil's economy will be hit hard by the abrupt decline in global economic activity, from agriculture and manufacturing to transportation and energy.

    March 2020 Pdf
    Article

    COVID-19 Will Extend Argentina's Recession

    Government measures taken to slow the rate of transmission will hinder economic growth in the near term. Yet the major long-term impact could come from the effect the outbreak is having on financial markets.

    March 2020 Pdf
    Article

    Tip of the Iceberg: The Global Ramifications of a China Debt Crisis

    Highly Commended for Best Emerging Markets Paper in the 2019 Savvy Investor Awards, this paper considers the consequences of a China debt crisis for the Chinese and global economies, with a special focus on Southeast Asia and emerging markets.

    March 2020 Pdf Steven Cochrane, Jesse Rogers
    Article

    Panic, Volatility, and CRE Finance & Transaction Markets

    Volatility has risen significantly in financial markets, driven by COVID-19. How might this affect US multifamily and commercial real estate (CRE) transaction markets? What are the mechanisms through which panic and a flight to safety will hurt some markets but benefit some players?

    Webinar-on-Demand

    Perspectivas Económicas para América Latina - Ligera Recuperación en 2020

    América Latina se encamina a una recuperación moderada en el 2020, mayormente impulsada por el mercado interno.

    March 2020 WebPage Jesse Rogers, Juan Pablo Fuentes, Alfredo Coutiño
    Article

    Coronavirus: COVID-19 Pandemic Scenario Narrative: Known Unknowns

    The coronavirus is an existential threat to the record-long global economic expansion. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention says it is likely that COVID-19 will become a global pandemic. If the CDC's warning comes to pass, then recession will be difficult to avoid.

    March 2020 Pdf Mark Zandi
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Assessing the Economic Impact of the COVID-19 Virus Under Alternative Scenarios

    The COVID-19 virus continues to spread and the economic damage is mounting.

    News

    BIS Papers Related to Macro-Prudential Policy and Stress Testing

    BIS published a collection of six papers that were prepared as part of a BIS research protocol project on measuring the effectiveness of macro-prudential policies using supervisory bank-level data for five Asia-Pacific central banks.

    February 19, 2020 WebPage Regulatory News
    Article

    Coronavirus: COVID-19 Scenario Narratives

    We assess the global macroeconomic impact of two scenarios, although many others, each darker than the next, cannot be ruled out. This assessment is based on simulations of our global macroeconomic model, which captures linkages via international trade, immigration, foreign direct investment, and financial markets for more than 100 countries.

    February 2020 Pdf Mark Zandi, Steven Cochrane
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Coronavirus - The Global Economic Threat

    The outbreak has already become highly disruptive to China; the U.S. will not be immune.

    FAQ

    Perspectivas Económicas para América Latina 2020: Preguntas y Respuestas

    Preguntas y Respuestas

    February 2020 Pdf Moody's Analytics
    News

    CMF Proposes Rules on Credit Risk-Weighted Assets and Capital Buffers

    CMF is consulting on two new regulations: one regulation covers the methodology for determining credit risk-weighted assets while the other one relates to the assessment of compliance with capital buffers.

    January 27, 2020 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    IMF Reports Assess Financial Sectors in Canada and Peru

    IMF published several technical notes under the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) on Canada.

    January 24, 2020 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    BCRA Updates Regulation on Capital Requirements and Information Regime

    BCRA updated the rules on minimum capital requirements for financial entities and on certain aspects of the information transparency regime for quarterly and annual supervision.

    January 16, 2020 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    BCB on Innovation Projects Selected for LIFT 2019 Edition

    BCB notified that the Laboratory for Financial and Technological Innovations (LIFT), developed by BCB and Fenasbac, has resulted in 17 new projects for innovation in the National Financial System (SFN).

    January 03, 2020 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    BCB Prepares Supplementary Draft Law on Bank Resolution

    BCB notified that the supplementary draft law (PLP 281/2019) on banking resolution has been submitted to Congress.

    December 28, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Perspectivas Económicas para América Latina 2020

    América Latina registrará una ligera recuperación en el 2020, después de un estancamiento en 2019.

    December 2019 WebPage Jesse Rogers, Juan Pablo Fuentes, Alfredo Coutiño
    News

    BCB Publishes Proposal for Regulatory Sandbox

    BCB proposed "normative acts" for the controlled testing environment for financial and payment innovations (regulatory sandbox) and on the conditions for provision of products and services in the context of this environment and within the National Financial System and the Brazilian Payments System.

    December 11, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    BCB Consults on Regulation for Implementation of Open Banking System

    BCB published a consultation on the regulation for implementation of open banking system for financial and other institutions authorized to operate by BCB.

    December 06, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
    News

    CMF Proposes Standard on Information Security and Cyber Security

    CMF is consulting on the standard for management of information security and cyber security.

    November 25, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
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