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    Coronavirus (COVID-19): Credit Risk Impact on Commercial Real Estate Loan Portfolios

    Join us for a comprehensive presentation on the state of the U.S. CRE market, and the impact on measures of credit quality.

    In this one-hour webinar, we will provide our outlook for market performance and the downside risks to the commercial real estate and multifamily sector. We’ll also share a summary of our research to illustrate the impact CRE market variables have on credit performance and bring it all together with specific examples and lending considerations.

    • Downside scenario updated for CRE and MF, focusing on fundamentals (rent, vacancy rates, etc.)
    • The impact fundamental CRE variables have had on CRE credit performance
    • Case studies, lending considerations, and the results of CRE portfolio analysis

    Presentation Slides

    Research: COVID-19 and Retail: A Macy's Case Study

    Speakers

    • Victor Calanog, PhD, Head of CRE Economics
    • Jun Chen, PhD, Head of CRE Research
    • Chris Henkel, Business Development and Advisory Services Lead
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    Multifamily and Commercial Real Estate Performance Metrics

    This paper will provide an update on multifamily and commercial real estate performance metrics for the first quarter of 2020. It will also focus on how different property types and geographic markets will evolve as a result of the current economic distress.

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    Q1 2020 REIS Quarterly Economic Briefing

    Dr. Victor Calanog, Head of Commercial Real Estate Economics at Moody's Analytics, will provide an economic overview and discuss the latest trends in property fundamentals, pricing, and mortgage markets for the first quarter of 2020.

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    The Future of Multifamily and CRE in Energy Markets

    With demand shocks pushing oil prices down to record lows, the energy industry has had to deal with historic amounts of upheaval given the COVID-19 crisis. How will multifamily and commercial properties be affected in geographic markets that are dependent on the industry?

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    Major Disruptions Ahead for the Office Sector

    Why the medium- to long-term prospects of the office sector are in peril, given the changes wrought by the pandemic.

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    Qualitative Overlay Factors for CRE Credit Risk Models in the Context of COVID-19

    COVID-19 has impacted several industries. We examine qualitative overlays to CRE loans that can be made no matter your CRE model.

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    COVID-19 Will Force the Office Sector to Evolve (Further)

    How will COVID-19 reshape the dynamics of office space as an income-generating asset class? This analysis looks back at how the sector has evolved over the last four decades and speculate on the near- and long-term effects of COVID-19, as well as the degree of impact by industry and geography.

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    COVID-19 and the Outlook for US Retail

    Challenged by the COVID-19 pandemic and economic contraction, US retail properties will likely record historic measures of distress in 2020.

    April 2020 WebPage Dr. Victor Calanog
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    Has The Northwest Flattened the Curve? What's Next for Multifamily and CRE

    After Northwest cities like Seattle grabbed early headlines given COVID-19 cases, major outbreaks appear to have leveled off in Washington state. Can we begin assuming that multifamily and commercial real estate properties in the area will fare relatively better versus other places?

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    COVID-19 and Retail: A Macy's Case Study

    This analysis focuses specifically on retail properties around the nation that have Macy's as a tenant, and are therefore directly impacted by the preemptive closing of 775 of its locations in order to prevent the spread of Coronavirus.

    April 2020 Pdf Dr. Victor Calanog
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    Moody's Analytics REIS & Raymond James In Conversation: COVID-19's Impact on CRE Lending

    This webinar will provide expert insight and trend analysis of CRE lending in the age of COVID-19.

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