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    Economic Forecast Scenarios

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    Many firms test, for strategic planning and regulatory compliance, the impact of shocks and differing economic assumptions on their portfolios and businesses. Moody's Analytics produces standard upside and downside alternative scenarios for more than 70 countries, including the US and all its states and metropolitan areas. Clients can use these scenarios for CECL, IFRS9 stress testing and other applications.

    Leverage monthly updated scenarios from a trusted source

    • Baseline forecast plus up to eight alternative scenarios with probability weights.
    • Available for 70+ countries, including the U.S., and all its state and metro areas.
    • Coverage of more than 1,800 economic, financial and demographic variables.
    • Forecasts updated monthly with a 30-year horizon, history updated in real-time.
    • Fully documented model methodology; with scenario assumptions published monthly.
    • Back-testing, tracking and model validation reports available.

    Backed by extensive economic forecasting and management expertise

    • Leverage trusted scenarios based on well-established macroeconomic forecasting methods.
    • Account for the latest conditions and plausible threats with monthly updated forecasts.
    • Fully understand assumptions with detailed documentation and economist access.
    • Quickly incorporate into your strategic planning, CECL/IFRS 9 and stress testing processes.
    • Access 80+ economists with extensive expertise in global macroeconomic forecasting.

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