October 30, 2018

ECB published the annual report that assesses risks in the banking sector. The three most important risk drivers identified for 2019 are geopolitical uncertainties, legacy and potential future non-performing loans (NPLs), and cybercrime and IT disruptions. These are followed by repricing in financial markets, low interest rate environment, and banks’ reaction to regulation.

The results of the risk assessment exercise highlights that the work so far has led to a significant progress in reducing NPLs. The NPL ratio of significant institutions decreased from 8% in 2014 to 4.9% in the fourth quarter of 2017. Nevertheless, the aggregate level of NPLs remains high compared to international standards and further efforts are necessary to ensure that the NPL issue in the euro area is adequately addressed. High stocks of NPLs constrain balance sheets, profitability, and capital of banks. Therefore, addressing legacy NPLs, including the monitoring of banks’ progress to reduce NPLs, remains among the key priorities of the European banking supervision. In addition, the ongoing search for yield might increase the potential for a build-up of future NPLs.

The report also highlights that the risk of an abrupt and significant repricing in financial markets has increased since last year. Banks would be affected mostly through their holdings of instruments recognized at fair value, collateral requirements, and costs to raise capital or liquidity. In an extreme case, if a major repricing coincided with other major events, it could also threaten the solvency of central counterparties, thus posing a systemic risk. As most of the post-crisis financial regulatory initiatives are being finalized, the pace of regulatory reform has somewhat slowed. However, some regulations still need to be implemented into the EU law. While regulatory uncertainty has decreased, banks need to further adapt their business models to operate in the new environment. Tighter regulation helps to safeguard a resilient and stable banking system in the medium and long term. In the short term, however, tighter regulation can challenge the profitability of banks and impose banking-sector risks, such as banks failing to adapt on time or postponing strategic decisions and/or investments

ECB Banking Supervision conducts a risk identification and assessment exercise on an annual basis in close cooperation with national competent authorities. The analysis draws on inputs from a wide range of contributors, including the Joint Supervisory Teams and horizontal micro-prudential and macro-prudential functions. It is also informed by discussions with banks and other relevant authorities. The outcome of this exercise serves as a basis for defining supervisory priorities and determines focus areas for the regular monitoring and analysis of risks to which the supervised banks are exposed.

 

Related Link: Risk Assessment for 2019 (PDF)

Keywords: Europe, EU, Banking, Securities, NPLs, SSM, Cyber Risk, Climate Related Risks, ECB

Related Articles
News

BIS Report Discusses Regulatory Issues Related to Big Techs in Finance

BIS has pre-released a chapter of the BIS Annual Economic Report; this chapter focuses on the risks and opportunities presented by large technology firms (big techs) in the financial services sector.

June 23, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

IOSCO Report Examines Liquidity in Corporate Bond Markets

IOSCO published a report that examines the factors affecting liquidity, under stressed conditions, in the secondary corporate bond markets.

June 21, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

FED Publishes Results of the 2019 Stress Tests for Banks

FED published a report presenting results of the Dodd-Frank Act Stress Test (DFAST) exercise for 2019.

June 21, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

BCBS Report Examines Global Pillar 2 Supervisory Review Practices

BCBS published a report that examines the Pillar 2 supervisory review practices and approaches in Basel member jurisdictions.

June 21, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

IASB Publishes Work Plan and Meeting Updates for June 2019

IASB published an updated work plan and a summary of its June meeting, which presents preliminary decisions of the Board.

June 21, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

HKMA Publishes Banking Exposure Limits Code Under Banking Ordinance

HKMA issued a circular to all authorized institutions informing that the Banking (Exposure Limits) Code has been published in the Gazette on June 21, 2019.

June 21, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

OSFI Proposes Guideline on Internal Model Oversight for Insurers

OSFI proposed the draft guideline E-25 on the internal model oversight framework for federally regulated property and casualty (P&C) insurance companies.

June 21, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

EBA Single Rulebook Q&A: Third Update for June 2019

Under the Single Rulebook question and answer (Q&A) updates for this week, EBA published one answer regarding the calculation of institution-specific countercyclical capital buffer rates.

June 21, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

BCBS Publishes Summary of the Meeting in June 2019

BCBS published a summary of its June meeting in Basel.

June 20, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
News

OCC Bulletin on Risk Management Guidance for Home Mortgage Lending

OCC published Bulletin 2019-28 on risk management guidance for higher-loan-to-value (LTV) lending activities in communities targeted for revitalization.

June 19, 2019 WebPage Regulatory News
RESULTS 1 - 10 OF 3298