In this webinar, Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team discuss recent changes to our Global Macroeconomic Model, and provide an overview of Scenario Studio, our new platform for custom scenario development. Learn more: www.moodysanalytics.com/scenariostudio
Mark Zandi, Mark Hopkins
In this presentation, Dr. Olga Loiseau-Aslanidi and Alaistair Chan discuss methods for incorporating forward-looking macroeconomic information to meet IFRS 9 impairment calculation requirements. Our economists will address the probability-weighted aspects of IFRS 9 using Moody's Analytics economic scenarios. The team will also discuss our modeling approach for calculating expected credit losses for retail lending portfolios.
Join Dr. Olga Loiseau-Aslanidi and Alaistair Chan as they discuss methods for incorporating forward-looking macroeconomic information to meet IFRS 9 impairment calculation requirements. Our economists will address the probability-weighted aspects of IFRS 9 using Moody's Analytics economic scenarios.
Coverage this month includes , the Financial Stability Board (FSB) agreed its 2017 work plan. The European Banking Authority (EBA) report with qualitative and quantitative observations of its first impact assessment of the International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS) 9, accounting for financial instruments, standard. The European Commission (EC) presented a comprehensive package of reforms aimed at further strengthening the resilience of European Union (EU) banks. The United States (US) Government Accounting Office (GAO) issued a report detailing additional actions which could help the Federal Reserve achieve its stress testing goals. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) issued a consultation on the local implementation of the Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR).
Michael van Steen
Basel III, Basel Beyond III, Basel Liquidity Compliance, Loss Accounting: ALLL, Loss Accounting: CECL, Loss Accounting: IFRS 9, Regulatory Capital, Regulatory Reporting: EU, Regulatory Reporting: US, Stress Testing: EU, Stress Testing: UK, Stress Testing: US
Institutions are transforming their analytic capabilities to move beyond static reports that explain what happened in the past, to more modern analytics that can explain why an event occurred and what is likely to happen in the future.
Coverage this month includes the BCBS's consultative document and discussion paper on Basel III; the EBA's final guidelines on implicit support for securitization transactions; the SEC's adopted rules for open-ended, mutual, and exchange traded funds; and more.
Basel III, Basel Beyond III, Basel Liquidity Compliance, Loss Accounting: ALLL, Loss Accounting: CECL, Loss Accounting: IFRS 9, Regulatory Capital, Regulatory Reporting: EU, Stress Testing: EU, Stress Testing: UK, Stress Testing: US, Systemic Risk
This newsletter provides information about key developments in Banking regulations worldwide. New articles are sorted by country, and are associated with keywords.
Michael van Steen
Higher capital standards imposed by new stress testing requirements have forced organizations to address how to better manage capital to meet regulatory constraints. While maintaining higher capital levels is indeed mandatory, simply satisfying the requirement does not necessarily align with stakeholders' preferences for optimal capital deployment and investment decisions. CCAR-style stress tests are requirements that organizations must adhere to; however, these exercises likely do not reflect how stakeholders actually trade off risk and return.
This document presents a credit portfolio stress testing method that analytically determines multi-period expected losses under various macroeconomic scenarios. The methodology utilizes Moody's Analytics Global Correlation Model (GCorr) Macro model within the credit portfolio modeling framework. GCorr Macro links the systematic credit factors from GCorr to observable macroeconomic variables. We describe the stress testing calculations and estimation of GCorr Macro parameters and present several validation exercises for portfolios from various regions of the world and of various asset classes.
Noelle Hong, Jimmy Huang, Albert Lee, Dr. Amnon Levy, Marc Mitrovic, Libor Pospisil, Olcay Ozkanoglu
This paper introduces a framework for stress testing portfolios of credit risk sensitive securities. Specifically, the framework uses a macroeconomic scenario to project stressed expected losses (EL) on the securities by accounting for credit quality changes, recovery risk effects, fluctuations in market price of risk, and interest rates paths. The calculations are carried out analytically over multiple periods.
Sunny Kanugo, Vishal Mangla, Libor Pospisil, Dr. Yashan Wang, Kevin Yang, Ian Ward, Jay Harvey
The EBA has released its 2016 EU-wide Stress Test. This webinar dissects the scenarios, considers possible narratives driving them and their probability of occurring.
December 2015 was a busy month for regulatory agencies and global standard setters. Throughout the year the industry has been waiting for additional guidance on high impact topics including capital planning and allowance methodologies, and in the final stretch of 2015 both the Federal Reserve and the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) complied. This paper will primarily focus on common themes in the two releases.