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    Moody's Analytics Insights

    Moody's Analytics Insights

    Article
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Positive Earnings Outlook Requires Flat to Lower Interest Rates

    After shrinking by 0.6% year over year during January-September 2019, yearlong 2019's core after-tax profits may be unchanged annually, at best.

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    Weekly Market Outlook: Overvalued Equities Increase Corporate Credit's Downside Risk

    An overvalued equity market increases the risk of a deep sell-off of equities that will damage corporate credit.

    Article
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    Foreign Direct Investments in Asia: Trends and Prospects

    Asia as a region has attracted the largest share of global FDI flows since 2017 and despite the ongoing U.S.-China trade war, the region is well positioned to continue being the top destination for foreign investments in the years ahead.

    Article
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    Weekly Market Outlook: High-Yield Rating Changes Say High-Yield Bond Spread Is Too Thin

    High-yield bonds have rallied mightily despite the lack of any observable broad-based acceleration of either business sales or corporate earnings

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    Weekly Market Outlook: Richly Valued Equities Offset Record High Ratio of Corporate Debt to GDP

    Following Jerome Powell's testimony of December 11, Moody's long-term Baa industrial company bond yield fell to 3.98%, which was its lowest close since the 3.95% of August 28, 2019.

    Webinar-on-Demand

    Perspectivas Económicas para América Latina 2020

    América Latina registrará una ligera recuperación en el 2020, después de un estancamiento en 2019.

    Article
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Return of Christmas Past Does Not Impend

    More than 20% of the European Union's population is at least 65 years of age. Partly because of an unprecedented aging of the EU's slowly growing population, the average annual rate of economic growth for the EU has slowed from the 2.7% of 2004-2007 to the projected 1.2% of 2019-2020.

    Webinar-on-Demand

    Moody's Analytics Webinar: Environmental, Social & Governance and Credit Risk Ideas for Fixed Income Investors

    Fixed income and equity investors face growing pressure to measure and monitor the ESG risk of their portfolios.

    Whitepaper
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    Calculation of Tranche Maturity for SEC-ERBA

    This paper specifically explores the External Ratings Based Approach (ERBA) calculation of risk-weighted assets in relation to Basel III.

    Whitepaper
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    Digitisation and Automation in Commercial Lending: Disruption without Distraction

    Automation and data-driven analytics have become part of our daily lives. Banking is no different. For example, a credit card application can be approved within minutes, and even a mortgage application can be pre-approved within a few days.

    Webinar-on-Demand
    Business and financial report

    A Global Recession: Key Indicators and Implications

    How should we prepare for the next recession?