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Moody's Analytics Insights

Article
Color Rope

Gauging CECL Cyclicality

In this paper, we provide empirical support for the conclusion that the CECL standard will be less procyclical than the incurred loss standard.

December 2018
Mark Zandi,  Dr. Cristian deRitis

Article

CECL Survey

We asked attendees of the 2018 Moody's Analytics Summit their thoughts on four key questions in preparation for the new standard.

November 2018

FAQ

CECL Roundtable FAQs

An open dialogue around economic forecasting techniques for calculating life-of-loan expected credit losses.

November 2018

Webinar-on-Demand

Meeting the Challenges of SCCL

The Federal Reserve finalized, in June 2018, the rule to prevent concentrations of risk between large banking organizations and their counterparties from undermining financial stability, known as Single Counterparty Credit Limit (SCCL).

November 2018
Olivier Brucker, Anders Rodenberg, Moun Seo

Interview
Trade

Trade War Impact On US Could Be Greater Than On China

Steve Cochrane, Chief APAC Economist of Moody's Analytics, talks about the trade dispute between the U.S. and China.

October 2018

Webinar-on-Demand
Business and financial report

Moody's Analytics Webinar: No Brexit to No Deal

The Brexit saga is quickly coming to a head, but it is increasingly unclear which direction it is headed.

October 2018
Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Mark Zandi

Article
insight default image

Canada Housing Market Outlook: Time for Slower Price Growth

The housing market in Canada seems to have stabilized. House price growth slowed between early last year and the middle of this year, though home sales and house price growth increased in July and August.

October 2018
Andres Carbacho-Burgos

Article
insight default image

CECLnomics and the Promise of Countercyclical Loss Accounting

In this study, we address these shortcomings by utilizing data that track loan volume and performance to ascertain CECL's cyclical impact.

October 2018

Webinar-on-Demand
Double exposure of city and graph on rows of coins for finance and banking concept

Webinar: Auto Lease Pricing Under Economic Uncertainty

Join us as Lead Auto Economist, Michael Vogan examines the recent performance of the used car market and lease residuals portfolios.

September 2018

Article

CECL Impact on Credit Loss Allowances for U.S. Auto Loans

This paper examines the impact of adopting current expected credit loss (CECL) standards for U.S. auto lenders. We use a dataset of national retail auto loans to illustrate potential changes in model-based allowances across the industry. Our analysis shows that on the first day of CECL adoption, loss allowances for U.S. auto lenders could increase by as much as 1.5 to 2.5 times the current allowances.

September 2018
Moody's Analytics

Presentation
Chess pawns in a circle

Improve Your Lending with Scores from RiskCalc™ Small Business

Improve Your Lending with Scores from RiskCalc™ Small Business

September 2018
Dinesh Bacham, Lucia Yang

Webinar-on-Demand
Chess pawns in a circle

Improve Your Lending with Scores from RiskCalc™ Small Business

Moody's Analytics recently released the RiskCalc™ Small Business solution as part of our ongoing efforts to help lenders better understand and serve their small business clients.

September 2018
Dinesh Bacham, Lucia Yang