Jesse Rogers, an economist at Moody’s Analytics, covers Latin America and emerging markets in Asia. He focuses on Chile, Peru, trade policy, international capital flows and economic development. Jesse joined Moody’s in 2014, following internships at U.S. Treasury and Institute of International Finance. Earlier, he reported on finance and politics for El Diario New York and worked at the Center for Research and Teaching in Economics, Mexico City.
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Based on simulations of the Moody's Analytics model of the global economy, this paper examines the consequences for the U.S. and global economies in different scenarios regarding how the trade war between the U.S. and China will unfold.
A hard landing in China remains a looming threat to the global economy and especially to the rest of Asia. This paper considers the consequences of a China debt crisis for the Chinese and global economies, with a special focus on Southeast Asia and emerging markets.
Rate cut or not, the Federal Reserve's easing bias is a relief for the region.
América Latina se encamina a su segundo año de recuperación en el 2019, con una mejoría más generalizada a nivel de países.
Latin America is heading toward a second year of recovery in 2019 with continued general improvement across countries. However, key risks threaten to adversely affect the region’s economic performance.
We assess the economic consequences for Latin America should the trade truce between the U.S. and China fail to hold.