The U.S. economy is booming and near-term prospects have rarely been as strong.
In this webinar, Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team will examine the tailwinds to growth, including fast-approaching herd immunity, massive pent-up demand, excess saving as well as unprecedented monetary and fiscal policy support. We will also review which regions of the U.S. are leading the country’s recovery, which are lagging, and the reasons why. Finally, we’ll examine the threats, including the prospects for uncomfortably high inflation and interest rates, overvalued asset markets, and the uncontrolled pandemic in much of the rest of the world.
At first glance, it is understandable that some are worried about the health of the U.S. consumer.
The minutes from the May meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee signal that the central bank wants to quickly and aggressively hike rates at the next couple of meetings to allow officials the ability to pause to assess the effects of policy firming on the economy, inflation and financial markets.
U.S. supply-chain stress has intensified because of China's zero-COVID tolerance policy, and this could limit, but not eliminate, the disinflation in U.S. goods prices over the next couple of months.
The Federal Reserve is not going to abandon its plan to aggressively remove monetary policy accommodation even if inflation has peaked.
As many of us learned in Principles of Macroeconomics, the Federal Reserve aggressively tightened monetary policy to tame inflation in the late 1970s and early 80s.
Global supply chains have been badly scrambled since just after the COVID-19 pandemic struck more than two years ago.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were created by Congress to provide a liquid secondary mortgage market to broaden access to homeownership.
The U.S. economy is flying through the different phases of the business cycle; we recently moved the economy from the recovery to expansion phase of the business cycle.
One link between the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the global economy is through financial market conditions.