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    Scenario Studio Kitchen: Cooking up a Debt Crisis

    This webinar features a live demonstration in Scenario Studio of the recently released Emerging Market Sovereign Debt Crisis Scenario.

    The session will review the main scenario assumptions, detail the key variables used in its construction, and discuss how to think about debt dynamics in the context of the Moody’s Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model. The step-by-step guide will offer helpful pointers for Scenario Studio beginners and veterans alike. 

    Join Brendan LaCerda, Senior Economist, and Jesse Rogers, Economist for this insightful webinar. 

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    Weekly Market Outlook: Holding Steady

    The U.S. economy is performing well, and near-term prospects are good, as the economy remains resilient.

    March 2024 Pdf Dante DeAntonio, Harry Murphy Cruise, Olga Bychkova, Jeemin Bang, Marisa DiNatale, Jesse Rogers
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Too-High CPI

    According to January's consumer price index, the annual inflation rate fell from 3.4% to 3.1%.

    February 2024 Pdf Dante DeAntonio, Olga Bychkova, Matt Colyar, Katrina Ell, Kyle Hillman, Heron Lim, Jesse Rogers
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Arbitrage Opportunity?

    Borrowing from the Federal Reserve's emergency facility put in place after the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, the Bank Term Funding Program, has risen sharply since late November.

    January 2024 Pdf Dante DeAntonio, Harry Murphy Cruise, Heron Lim, Olga Bychkova, Scott Hoyt, Juan Pablo Fuentes, Jesse Rogers
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Housing Market Turning a Corner?

    In the U.S., the 30-year fixed mortgage rate ticked down to 7.1% in the first half of December.

    December 2023 Pdf Dante DeAntonio, Stefan Angrick, Olga Bychkova, Darrah Peklak, Jesse Rogers
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Powell Pivot?

    The December meeting of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee was the most dovish since the post-pandemic tightening cycle began.

    December 2023 Pdf Dante DeAntonio, Stefan Angrick, Jeemin Bang, Justin Begley, Olga Bychkova, Matt Colyar, Jesse Rogers
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Energy Taints August Inflation

    Headline monthly inflation in August was the strongest since June 2022, and core inflation surprised to upside.

    September 2023 Pdf Dante DeAntonio, Stefan Angrick, Olga Bychkova, Alfredo Coutiño, Jesse Rogers, Bernard Yaros
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Looking Good, So Far

    The Moody's Analytics high-frequency GDP estimate for the U.S. third quarter rose with the latest data on consumer spending and inflation

    August 2023 Pdf Dante DeAntonio, Katrina Ell, Michael Brisson, Alfredo Coutiño, Olga Bychkova, Jesse Rogers
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Inflation Meets Expectations

    The U.S. consumer price index for July carries limited monetary policy implications, as we believe the Federal Reserve is done with interest-rate hikes for the current tightening cycle.

    August 2023 Pdf Dante DeAntonio, Stefan Angrick, Olga Bychkova, Matt Colyar, Katrina Ell, Jesse Rogers
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Second-Quarter GDP Impresses

    U.S. GDP rose a healthy 2.4% in the second quarter, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis' advance estimate.

    July 2023 Pdf Dante DeAntonio, Stefan Angrick, Olga Bychkova, Dave Chia, Michael Brisson, Katrina Ell, Jesse Rogers, Steven Shields
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Talking Tough

    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell continued to fuel expectations for higher interest rates.

    June 2023 Pdf Dante DeAntonio, Katrina Ell, Olga Bychkova, Kyle Hillman, Jesse Rogers
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