This webinar features a live demonstration in Scenario Studio of the recently released Emerging Market Sovereign Debt Crisis Scenario.
The session will review the main scenario assumptions, detail the key variables used in its construction, and discuss how to think about debt dynamics in the context of the Moody’s Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model. The step-by-step guide will offer helpful pointers for Scenario Studio beginners and veterans alike.
Join Brendan LaCerda, Senior Economist, and Jesse Rogers, Economist for this insightful webinar.
The U.S. economy is performing well, and near-term prospects are good, as the economy remains resilient.
According to January's consumer price index, the annual inflation rate fell from 3.4% to 3.1%.
Borrowing from the Federal Reserve's emergency facility put in place after the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, the Bank Term Funding Program, has risen sharply since late November.
In the U.S., the 30-year fixed mortgage rate ticked down to 7.1% in the first half of December.
The December meeting of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee was the most dovish since the post-pandemic tightening cycle began.
Headline monthly inflation in August was the strongest since June 2022, and core inflation surprised to upside.
The Moody's Analytics high-frequency GDP estimate for the U.S. third quarter rose with the latest data on consumer spending and inflation
The U.S. consumer price index for July carries limited monetary policy implications, as we believe the Federal Reserve is done with interest-rate hikes for the current tightening cycle.
U.S. GDP rose a healthy 2.4% in the second quarter, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis' advance estimate.