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    Regulatory Climate Change Stress Testing Scenarios: Global Perspective

    June 2021

    Regulators such as the Bank of England, the Central Bank of Canada, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, and others leverage on climate change scenarios by non-governmental institutions for their stress tests.

    Moody’s Analytics has generated macroeconomic scenarios consistent with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s RCP 8.5 Scenario and the Network for Greening the Financial System’s Early Policy and Late Policy Action Scenarios.

    In this webinar, the Moody’s Analytics approach to quantifying chronic physical risk at the country level using a variety of impact channels will be discussed. We will then elaborate on how we calibrate the Moody’s Global Macroeconomic Model to account for the transition risk and its impact on projections of unemployment rates and house prices. Finally, we will provide details regarding our approach to market risk. We will concentrate this discussion on equity prices, foreign exchange rates, and credit default swaps.

    Key areas include:
    - Climate change regulatory stress testing: Arising industry standard
    - Physical risk impact channels
    -Generating transition risk scenarios
    - Approach to market risk modelling

    Host:
    Luca Magni,
    Associate Director, Moody's Analytics

    Speakers
    Dr Petr Zemcik,
    Senior Director, Predictive Analytics, Moody's Analytics
    Janet Lee
    , Director, Predictive Analytics, Moody's Analytics
    Chris Lafakis,
    Director, Predictive Analytics, Moody's Analytics
    Martin Wurm,
    Associate Director, Predictive Analytics, Moody's Analytics

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