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    Global Economic Outlook

    After a soft end to 2020 and a difficult start in 2021, the global economic recovery is projected to gain momentum in the coming year supported by the coronavirus vaccine rollout.

    After a soft end to 2020 and a difficult start in 2021, the global economic recovery is projected to gain momentum in the coming year supported by the coronavirus vaccine rollout. The Asia-Pacific (APAC) region outperformed the other regions in 2020, though recent coronavirus outbreaks in a number of cities in Asia will drag on the pace of recovery in the opening months of the year.

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    The Macroeconomic Cost of Climate Inaction

    Rising global temperatures caused by increasing greenhouse gas pollution pose substantial risks to the global economy.

    November 2022 Pdf Bernard Yaros, Chris Lafakis, Mark Zandi
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Vulnerable U.S. Economy Faces Test

    OPEC+ announced a significant cut to its collective output limit, just as the U.S. economy is vulnerable and financial market conditions have tightened.

    October 2022 Pdf Ryan SweetMark Zandi, Steven Shields, Jain Illiana
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    Weekly Market Outlook: No Clipping Hawks' Wings

    If there was any doubt that the Federal Reserve was serious about taming inflation, it should be gone after the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee as it hiked the target range for the fed funds rate by 75 basis points and signaled a noticeably higher terminal rate than previously thought.

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    Playing a Dangerous Game With the Debt Limit

    Treasury has been using its available cash to pay its bills, but by mid- to late October those funds will be exhausted. Someone would not get paid in a timely way.

    September 2022 Pdf Mark Zandi, Bernard Yaros
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    Assessing the Macroeconomic Consequences of the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022

    Lawmakers appear close to passing into law the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022.

    August 2022 Pdf Mark Zandi, Bernard Yaros, Chris Lafakis
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Inflation and U.S. Recession Risks

    The recent surge in U.S. inflation has made a mockery of interest rate projections, market-implied and professional forecasts alike.

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    Lease-to-Purchase: How to Build Homeownership

    Owning one's home is arguably the most effective way for lower- and middle-income Americans to build wealth and critical to building more stable communities and a stronger economy.

    July 2022 Pdf Mark Zandi
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Lost That Lovin' Feeling

    U.S. recessions are ultimately a loss of faith: Consumers lose faith that they will have a job and pull back on their spending, and businesses lose faith that there will be demand for the good or service they produce, and they lay off workers.

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    Weekly Market Outlook: Time to Worry About the Consumer?

    At first glance, it is understandable that some are worried about the health of the U.S. consumer.

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    Macroeconomic Consequences of Pandemic-Related Global Supply-Chain Disruptions

    Global supply chains have been badly scrambled since just after the COVID-19 pandemic struck more than two years ago.

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