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    Global Economic Outlook

    After a soft end to 2020 and a difficult start in 2021, the global economic recovery is projected to gain momentum in the coming year supported by the coronavirus vaccine rollout.

    After a soft end to 2020 and a difficult start in 2021, the global economic recovery is projected to gain momentum in the coming year supported by the coronavirus vaccine rollout. The Asia-Pacific (APAC) region outperformed the other regions in 2020, though recent coronavirus outbreaks in a number of cities in Asia will drag on the pace of recovery in the opening months of the year.

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    Weekly Market Outlook: Lost That Lovin' Feeling

    U.S. recessions are ultimately a loss of faith: Consumers lose faith that they will have a job and pull back on their spending, and businesses lose faith that there will be demand for the good or service they produce, and they lay off workers.

    June 2022 Pdf Ryan SweetSteven CochraneKatrina Ell, Scott Hoyt, Michael Ferlez, Bernard Yaros
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Time to Worry About the Consumer?

    At first glance, it is understandable that some are worried about the health of the U.S. consumer.

    June 2022 Pdf Ryan Sweet, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Mark Zandi, Michael Ferlez
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    Macroeconomic Consequences of Pandemic-Related Global Supply-Chain Disruptions

    Global supply chains have been badly scrambled since just after the COVID-19 pandemic struck more than two years ago.

    April 2022 Pdf Mark Zandi
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    How Fannie and Freddie Can Use Pricing to Expand Affordable Homeownership

    Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were created by Congress to provide a liquid secondary mortgage market to broaden access to homeownership.

    April 2022 Pdf Mark Zandi
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Flying Through the Business Cycle, Fed Needs to Land the Plane

    The U.S. economy is flying through the different phases of the business cycle; we recently moved the economy from the recovery to expansion phase of the business cycle.

    March 2022 Pdf Ryan SweetMark Zandi, Chris Lafakis, Steven Shields
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    Global Fiscal Policy in the Pandemic

    The U.S. and global economies have recovered surprisingly quickly from the debilitating COVID-19 pandemic.

    February 2022 Pdf Mark Zandi
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Fast and Furious: Fed Version

    The minutes from the December meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee showed the central bank believed the time to begin removing policy accommodation was near and that policymakers favor interest rates over balance-sheet reduction as the primary tool.

    January 2022 Pdf Ryan SweetMark Zandi, Michael Ferlez
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    Hitting Ground Floor: The Global Ramifications of a China Debt Crisis

    This paper considers the consequences of a property market collapse in China for the Chinese and global economies, with a special focus on Southeast Asia and emerging markets.

    January 2022 Pdf Jesse Rogers, Steven Cochrane
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    Time to Heal

    Omicron is substantially more contagious than previous variants of the virus that causes COVID-19, and even if it is much less virulent, it is already doing significant economic damage.

    January 2022 Pdf Mark Zandi
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    Here's when high inflation will come to an end

    The Delta variant of the virus hit us hard this fall, costing more lives and doing more economic damage, this time by igniting long-dormant inflation.

    November 2021 Pdf Mark Zandi
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