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    Assessing Bank of England’s Climate Risk Scenarios

    Global central banks and regulators are increasingly focused on the risks climate change poses to the global financial system.

    The Bank of England’s recent climate risk stress test is the latest effort. In this webinar, we discuss the BOE’s climate risk scenarios, our methodologies for expanding them to a wide range of economic, financial, and demographic variables across the world, and the implications for future efforts by central banks to gauge climate risks.

    Join Mark Zandi, Chief Economist; Marisa DiNatale, Senior Director; and Chris Lafakis, Director, as they discuss climate change scenarios and their implications on central banks.

     

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    Weekly Market Outlook: Explaining the Standstill in Auto Credit

    The check-engine light is on for the auto credit market.

    November 2023 Pdf Dante DeAntonio, Stefan Angrick, Justin Begley, Olga Bychkova, Chris Lafakis
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    Weekly Market Outlook: No Surprise in September CPI

    September's consumer price index, as Moody's Analytics expected, showed a 0.4% monthly increase that held the annual inflation rate at 3.7%.

    October 2023 Pdf Dante DeAntonio, Harry Murphy Cruise, Stefan Angrick, Olga Bychkova, Mark Zandi, Matt Colyar, Justin Begley
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Who Has the Savings, and How Much?

    Since excess savings are measured as the amount saved in excess of what would have been saved if the pandemic had not occurred, it is clear that the more time passes, the more uncertain assumptions about the underlying trend in saving becomes.

    September 2023 Pdf Dante DeAntonio, Stefan Angrick, Olga Bychkova, Harry Murphy Cruise, Chris Lafakis
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Retail Sales Still Chasing Inflation

    U.S. retail sales continue to grow at a modest pace that is barely keeping up with inflation.

    July 2023 Pdf Dante DeAntonio, Mark Zandi, Stefan Angrick, Matt Colyar, Katrina Ell, Scott Hoyt, Steven Shields, Bernard Yaros
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Fed Minutes Reinforce Softened Stance

    The Federal Open Market Committee softened its tone in May's post-meeting statement, a sentiment reinforced within the FOMC meeting minutes.

    May 2023 Pdf Dante DeAntonio, Mark ZandiKatrina Ell, Heron Lim, Steven Shields
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    Debt Limit Scenario Update

    The Treasury debt limit drama is fast approaching its finale. Congress and the Biden administration have no more than a month before the Treasury runs out of enough cash to pay all of the government's bills on time. Here, we update our analysis of two alternative scenarios that bookend the economic impact if lawmakers do not act in time and there is a breach of the limit.

    May 2023 Pdf Mark Zandi, Adam Kamins, Bernard Yaros
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    The Debt Limit Drama Heats Up

    The political drama over the Treasury debt limit is suddenly heating up.

    April 2023 Pdf Mark Zandi, Bernard Yaros
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Banks Tap the Liquidity Spigot

    Surging interest rates coupled with an increased share of fixed-rate securities over the past year have made many banks vulnerable to evaporating deposits and duration risk.

    April 2023 Pdf Dante DeAntonio, Mark Zandi, Steven Shields, Katrina Ell, Kristopher Cramer, Stefan Angrick
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    What if the Banking Crisis Is Not Over?

    The recent collapse of Silicon Valley Bank precipitated a sudden loss of confidence in the banking system, prompting bank runs, and forcing the U.S. government to provide extraordinary support to the system.

    April 2023 Pdf Mark ZandiCristian deRitis, Dr. Martin A. Wurm, Bernard Yaros
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    Fiscal State of the Union

    Fiscal policy since the COVID-19 pandemic hit three years ago has been critical in supporting the U.S. economy's quick and full revival.

    March 2023 Pdf Mark Zandi
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