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    The Economic Outlook for the Nordics - Impact of COVID-19

    June 2020

    We combine country projections for infection rates with varying lockdown measures and macroeconomic policies to forecast key economic drivers, including interest rates

    While a V-shape recession is becoming less likely, there are signs of recovery. Risks to the expected recovery include subsequent breakouts of the COVID-19, rising debt, trade wars, and oil prices for oil exporters such as Norway.

    Topics covered include:
    • The pandemic evolution and perspectives on the road to recovery
    • Actions taken by policymakers to avoid a deeper recession
    • Macroeconomic forecasting and interest rates
    • Risks to the baseline view: What else can go wrong?

    Speakers:

    Dr. Juan M. Licari, Managing Director - Chief International Economist, Moody's Analytics
    Dr. Petr Zemcik, Senior Director - Economic Research, Moody's Analytics
    Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Assistant Director - Economist, Moody's Analytics

    Presentation slides can be accessed here.

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