Navigating Problem Loans and SME Credit Risk During the Pandemic
In this webinar, we’ll address the macroeconomic impact of the pandemic, how SMEs in particular have been impacted, and what skills lenders will need to appropriately assess business viability and, ultimately, repayment capacity.
Weekly Market Outlook: Shaken, Not Rattled
Recent U.S. bank failures are disconcerting to watch, but they are not symptomatic of a serious broader problem in the financial system.
Financial System Shaken, Not Rattled
Recent U.S. bank failures are disconcerting to watch, but they are not symptomatic of a serious broader problem in the financial system; policymakers' aggressive response should ensure the failures do not weaken the system or the fragile economy.
Going Down the Debt Limit Rabbit Hole
The U.S. Treasury is quickly approaching the X-date—the day it will not have enough cash to pay all of the federal government's bills on time.
Debt Limit Brinkmanship (Again)
Odds that lawmakers blunder either out of intent or ineptness are uncomfortably high
Recession is a serious threat. But the Moody's Analytics baseline forecast—the most-likely outlook—holds that the economy will avoid a downturn. Call it a slowcession.
The Macroeconomic Cost of Climate Inaction
Rising global temperatures caused by increasing greenhouse gas pollution pose substantial risks to the global economy.
Weekly Market Outlook: Vulnerable U.S. Economy Faces Test
OPEC+ announced a significant cut to its collective output limit, just as the U.S. economy is vulnerable and financial market conditions have tightened.
Weekly Market Outlook: No Clipping Hawks' Wings
If there was any doubt that the Federal Reserve was serious about taming inflation, it should be gone after the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee as it hiked the target range for the fed funds rate by 75 basis points and signaled a noticeably higher terminal rate than previously thought.
Playing a Dangerous Game With the Debt Limit
Treasury has been using its available cash to pay its bills, but by mid- to late October those funds will be exhausted. Someone would not get paid in a timely way.
Assessing the Macroeconomic Consequences of the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022
Lawmakers appear close to passing into law the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022.