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    Assessing the Economic Impact of the COVID-19 Virus Under Alternative Scenarios

    The COVID-19 virus continues to spread and the economic damage is mounting.

    The trajectory of COVID-19 is highly uncertain. Variables include how long it will take for the virus to play out, how many people will be infected, how many will die, and whether the virus will spread in a significant way outside of China. In this webinar, we assess the global macroeconomic impact of two scenarios, although others, each darker than the next, cannot be ruled out.

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    Are We in a Housing Bubble?

    The single-family market is hot, with house prices surging in much of the country. Is the market a bubble?

    June 2021 WebPage Mark ZandiCristian deRitis
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    Weekly Market Outlook: The Dot Plot Thickens

    The Federal Reserve on Wednesday didn't alter its description of U.S. inflation. Policymakers still view the acceleration as transitory, but there was a big shift in the so-called “dot plot” that tracks interest-rate projections by the members of the central bank's Federal Open Market Committee.

    June 2021 Pdf Ryan SweetMark ZandiKatrina Ell, Michael Ferlez
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Cost Push or Demand Pull

    The U.S. is experiencing cost-push inflation, which has historically proven to be more temporary than other causes, primarily demand pull.

    June 2021 Pdf Ryan SweetKatrina Ell, Adam Kamins, Steven Shields
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    The only way to resolve the nation's affordable housing crisis

    It is a relief to see policymakers finally focus in earnest on the nation's crumbling infrastructure. But it is unnerving to see so little attention given to what may be the most critical infrastructure need of all: the nation's dire shortage of affordable housing.

    June 2021 Pdf Mark Zandi
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Fed Walks the Tightrope

    The Federal Reserve's response to the COVID-19 pandemic was historic and put the central bank into uncharted territory.

    June 2021 Pdf Katrina Ell, Michael Ferlez, Ryan Sweet
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    Weekly Market Outlook: It's Not Stagflation

    The U.S. is not currently experiencing stagflation, and it's not going to over the next couple of years.

    May 2021 Pdf Ryan SweetKatrina Ell, Adam Kamins, Steven Shields
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Talking About Tapering Talk

    Financial markets are interpreting the minutes from the April Federal Open Market Committee meeting as being hawkish, as Treasury yields jumped following the release of the minutes.

    May 2021 Pdf Ryan SweetMark Zandi, Steven Shields, Katrina Ell
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Moody's Analytics & Raymond James In Conversation: The Year Ahead - An Update on Mortgages

    Join us for the 4th webinar in our series: Moody’s Analytics & Raymond James in Conversation where we will discuss the outlook for mortgages and their impact on banks, credit unions, non-banks, and mortgage lending.

    May 2021 WebPage Cristian deRitisDavid Fieldhouse
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Are Inflationists Finally Right, or Still Crying Wolf?

    The April U.S. consumer price index was surprisingly strong but there are no implications for the timing of the Federal Reserve's tapering of its monthly asset purchase or first rate hike.

    May 2021 Pdf Ryan SweetKatrina Ell, Michael Ferlez, Adam Kamins
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    Biden's Build Back Better plan will improve nearly every community in America

    There is a lot to like in the President's Build Back Better plan.

    May 2021 Pdf Mark Zandi
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