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    Assessing the Economic Impact of the COVID-19 Virus Under Alternative Scenarios

    The COVID-19 virus continues to spread and the economic damage is mounting.

    The trajectory of COVID-19 is highly uncertain. Variables include how long it will take for the virus to play out, how many people will be infected, how many will die, and whether the virus will spread in a significant way outside of China. In this webinar, we assess the global macroeconomic impact of two scenarios, although others, each darker than the next, cannot be ruled out.

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    Weekly Market Outlook: Possible Pause

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    Weekly Market Outlook: Inflation Surprises Hurt

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    Weekly Market Outlook: Did Inflation Peak? Doesn't Matter to the Fed

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    Weekly Market Outlook: Fed Talked the Talk, Walked the Walk

    As many of us learned in Principles of Macroeconomics, the Federal Reserve aggressively tightened monetary policy to tame inflation in the late 1970s and early 80s.

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    Weekly Market Outlook: Fed's Powell Doesn't Need to Channel His Inner Volcker

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