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    COVID-19 Economic Forecast Scenarios - The Shape of the Coming Recovery

    In this webinar, Chief Economist Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team present an overview of our updated COVID-19 forecast scenarios for the global economy, including the key drivers for each probability weighted assumption.

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    Debt Limit Brinkmanship (Again)

    Odds that lawmakers blunder either out of intent or ineptness are uncomfortably high

    January 2023 Pdf Mark Zandi
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    Slowcession

    Recession is a serious threat. But the Moody's Analytics baseline forecast—the most-likely outlook—holds that the economy will avoid a downturn. Call it a slowcession.

    January 2023 Pdf Mark Zandi
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    The Macroeconomic Cost of Climate Inaction

    Rising global temperatures caused by increasing greenhouse gas pollution pose substantial risks to the global economy.

    November 2022 Pdf Bernard Yaros, Chris Lafakis, Mark Zandi
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Vulnerable U.S. Economy Faces Test

    OPEC+ announced a significant cut to its collective output limit, just as the U.S. economy is vulnerable and financial market conditions have tightened.

    October 2022 Pdf Ryan SweetMark Zandi, Steven Shields, Jain Illiana
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    Weekly Market Outlook: No Clipping Hawks' Wings

    If there was any doubt that the Federal Reserve was serious about taming inflation, it should be gone after the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee as it hiked the target range for the fed funds rate by 75 basis points and signaled a noticeably higher terminal rate than previously thought.

    September 2022 Pdf Ryan Sweet, Jain Illiana, Steven CochraneMark Zandi
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    Playing a Dangerous Game With the Debt Limit

    Treasury has been using its available cash to pay its bills, but by mid- to late October those funds will be exhausted. Someone would not get paid in a timely way.

    September 2022 Pdf Mark Zandi, Bernard Yaros
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    Assessing the Macroeconomic Consequences of the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022

    Lawmakers appear close to passing into law the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022.

    August 2022 Pdf Mark Zandi, Bernard Yaros, Chris Lafakis
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    Lease-to-Purchase: How to Build Homeownership

    Owning one's home is arguably the most effective way for lower- and middle-income Americans to build wealth and critical to building more stable communities and a stronger economy.

    July 2022 Pdf Mark Zandi
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    Weekly Market Outlook: Time to Worry About the Consumer?

    At first glance, it is understandable that some are worried about the health of the U.S. consumer.

    June 2022 Pdf Ryan Sweet, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Mark Zandi, Michael Ferlez
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    Macroeconomic Consequences of Pandemic-Related Global Supply-Chain Disruptions

    Global supply chains have been badly scrambled since just after the COVID-19 pandemic struck more than two years ago.

    April 2022 Pdf Mark Zandi
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