In this webinar, Chief Economist Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team present an overview of our updated COVID-19 forecast scenarios for the global economy, including the key drivers for each probability weighted assumption.
Odds that lawmakers blunder either out of intent or ineptness are uncomfortably high
Recession is a serious threat. But the Moody's Analytics baseline forecast—the most-likely outlook—holds that the economy will avoid a downturn. Call it a slowcession.
Rising global temperatures caused by increasing greenhouse gas pollution pose substantial risks to the global economy.
OPEC+ announced a significant cut to its collective output limit, just as the U.S. economy is vulnerable and financial market conditions have tightened.
If there was any doubt that the Federal Reserve was serious about taming inflation, it should be gone after the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee as it hiked the target range for the fed funds rate by 75 basis points and signaled a noticeably higher terminal rate than previously thought.
Treasury has been using its available cash to pay its bills, but by mid- to late October those funds will be exhausted. Someone would not get paid in a timely way.
Lawmakers appear close to passing into law the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022.
Owning one's home is arguably the most effective way for lower- and middle-income Americans to build wealth and critical to building more stable communities and a stronger economy.
At first glance, it is understandable that some are worried about the health of the U.S. consumer.
Global supply chains have been badly scrambled since just after the COVID-19 pandemic struck more than two years ago.