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    U.S. Regional Economic Outlook: August 2020

    In this webinar, we will identify the areas of the country that are best- and worst-positioned in the coming months and years; discuss various themes, trends, and risks that inform our outlook for different regions; and explore what the data are telling us about what is happening in real time.

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    Article

    The Biden Fiscal Rescue Package: Light on the Horizon

    We assess the economic impact of President-Elect Biden's proposed $1.9 trillion fiscal rescue package, the American Rescue Plan,

    January 2021 Pdf Mark Zandi
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Market Value of U.S. Common Stock Soars to Record-High 185% of GDP

    January 9's unexpectedly steep jump by initial state unemployment claims reminded us of the considerable loss of business activity to COVID-19-inspired shutdowns be they voluntary or forced.

    January 2021 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Michael Ferlez, Mark Zandi
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Stimulatory Monetary and Fiscal Policies Enhance Corporate Credit Outlook

    An extraordinarily accommodative monetary policy helps financial markets view the Democratic Party's takeover of Congress in a positive light.

    January 2021 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Adam Kamins, Steven Shields
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Financial Markets Have Largely Priced-In 2021's Positive Outlook

    Despite a positive outlook for 2021's corporate earnings, the investment performance of U.S. equities and corporate bonds may be uninspiring at best.

    December 2020 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Michael Ferlez, Adam Kamins
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Equity and Corporate Debt Rallies Withstand Record COVID-19 Hospitalizations for Now

    Hospitalizations related to resurgent COVID-19 have been setting new record highs, but so has the market value of U.S. common equity.

    December 2020 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Adam Kamins, Steven Shields
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Moody's Analytics & Raymond James In Conversation: The Impact of COVID-19 - A Year in Review

    The year end wrap-up of our webinar series: Moody’s Analytics & Raymond James in Conversation where we discussed the impact of COVID-19 on the economy, mortgages, commercial real estate and U.S. autos.

    December 2020 WebPage Mark ZandiCristian deRitis, Michael Brisson
    Article

    Bargaining Power, COVID-19, and the Essential Economy

    We explore the bargaining power of workers in the age of COVID-19 and the role that essential workers have played in the employer-employee relationship during the pandemic.

    December 2020 Pdf Mark Zandi
    Article

    Weekly Market Outlook: Core Profits and U.S. Equities Set New Record Highs

    Not only has the market value of U.S. common stock set a new record high, so have the core pretax profits of U.S. corporations.

    December 2020 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Michael Ferlez, Adam Kamins
    Article

    Resurgent COVID-19 Threatens Corporate Credit's Improved Trend

    COVID-19 will determine the near-term fate of the U.S. and world economies in 2021. If resurgent coronavirus infections prompt another broad shutdown of businesses, US real GDP will again contract sequentially. At the other extreme, a vaccine for the virus would significantly enhance 2021's outlook.

    November 2020 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Anna Zabrodzka, Mark Zandi, Michael Ferlez
    Webinar-on-Demand

    The Economic Consequences of the Election

    With the results of the U.S. elections coming into view, it is time to consider what the results mean for economic policy and the outlook for the U.S. and global economies.

    November 2020 WebPage Mark Zandi, Bernard Yaros, Dan White
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