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    Accounting for Credit Losses in CRE A Case Study

    Credit loss forecasting models are only as effective as the data on which they were built, and few, if any, were designed to capture the effects a sudden pandemic would unleash on the U.S. economy. In times like this, how are financial institutions determining the right amount to set aside for future credit losses?

    Join us for an insightful discussion and a case study on an approach to quantitatively model credit risk in a range of economic scenarios, and adjust the results to capture information that models may not consider.

    Speakers:
    • Alex Cannon, Associate Director, Moody' s Analytics 
    • Christian Henkel, Senior Director, Moody's Analytics REIS


    Resources: 
    COVID-19 Impact Assessment Tool

     
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    Webinar-on-Demand

    Managing the Shock to Commercial Real Estate: A Practical Approach to Quantify Loan Performance

    Join us for an in-depth analysis of CRE loan performance and credit risks under Moody’s latest economic and real estate scenarios.

    July 2020 WebPage Laurent Birade, Sumit Grover, Christian Henkel, James Partridge
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    Adjusting Your Allowance Framework for COVID-19 and Related Stimulus Programs

    This paper discusses how different economic impacts from the crisis could quantitatively be incorporated into allowance models today as an overlay. Our aim is to provide some insight into how institutions are tackling this challenge.

    June 2020 WebPage Alex Cannon, Ian McCready
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    Unfunded Commitments: Unintended Consequences in Times of Turmoil

    The COVID-19 pandemic has pushed many commercial entities to increase their borrowing and drawdown on their lines of credit. We use bank call report data to analyze the potential impact to capital levels at US financial institutions.

    April 2020 Pdf Laurent Birade, James Partridge, Alex Cannon
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Coronavirus (COVID-19): Credit Risk Impact on Commercial Real Estate Loan Portfolios

    Join us for a comprehensive presentation on the state of the U.S. CRE market, and the impact on measures of credit quality.

    Article

    Panic, Volatility, and CRE Finance & Transaction Markets

    Volatility has risen significantly in financial markets, driven by COVID-19. How might this affect US multifamily and commercial real estate (CRE) transaction markets? What are the mechanisms through which panic and a flight to safety will hurt some markets but benefit some players?

    Presentation

    The Evolution of Risk Ratings: Lessons Learned and Where We Go From Here

    Employing a data-driven approach to risk rating commercial loans has gone from a nascent idea to an established practice, allowing financial institutions to make informed decisions, improve profitability, and better identify trends in risk. Join us for an in-depth discussion on leading practices and lessons learned from a decade of enhancing the process of risk rating commercial loans.

    November 2019 Pdf Christian Henkel
    Presentation

    Invest with the Best (in Commercial Real Estate)

    Learn how data and technology are being used to improve CRE lending and investment decisions…and how to motivate your underwriting staff!

    November 2019 Pdf Christian Henkel
    Presentation

    CECL – Using a Reasonable and Supportable Forecast (Presentation Slides)

    The new CECL accounting standard requires institutions to incorporate forward-looking information in their estimate of expected lifetime losses.

    Webinar-on-Demand

    Moody's Analytics Webinar: CECL – Using a Reasonable and Supportable Forecast

    The new CECL accounting standard requires institutions to incorporate forward-looking information in their estimate of expected lifetime losses.

    Moody's Analytics Webinar: CECL – Using a Reasonable and Supportable Forecast

    The new CECL accounting standard requires institutions to incorporate forward-looking information in their estimate of expected lifetime losses. Join CECL experts as they discuss ways in which this requirement can be achieved by community banks and credit unions.

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