Final U.S. Election Model Update
In this webinar, Moody’s Analytics will present a final update of its 2020 presidential election models and discuss the economic and political factors driving our results.
With Election Day just a week away, Moody’s Analytics will present a final update of its 2020 presidential election models and discuss the economic and political factors driving our results. In particular, we will discuss the one state that is forecast to determine Electoral College outcome. Also discussed will be an update on congressional races, how long it could take to know the presidential winner, as well as Election-Day wildcards from mail ballots to COVID-19.
Related Articles
Bargaining Power, COVID-19, and the Essential Economy
We explore the bargaining power of workers in the age of COVID-19 and the role that essential workers have played in the employer-employee relationship during the pandemic.
Weekly Market Outlook: Operating Leverage May Help to Narrow Yield Spreads in 2021
Corporate credit has largely recovered from the terrible slump prompted by COVID-19. In general, corporate bond yield spreads are now the narrowest since February 2020.
Resurgent COVID-19 Threatens Corporate Credit's Improved Trend
COVID-19 will determine the near-term fate of the U.S. and world economies in 2021. If resurgent coronavirus infections prompt another broad shutdown of businesses, US real GDP will again contract sequentially. At the other extreme, a vaccine for the virus would significantly enhance 2021's outlook.
The Economic Consequences of the Election
With the results of the U.S. elections coming into view, it is time to consider what the results mean for economic policy and the outlook for the U.S. and global economies.
Weekly Market Outlook: Split Congress Sparks Rallies by Equities, Corporates and Treasuries
Republican control of the U.S. Senate and Democrat control of the House effectively precludes radical changes in the U.S. tax and regulatory framework.
Pandemic Economics: How COVID-19 Is Shaping American Household Behavior
In this webinar, Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team, plus special guest John Leer from Morning Consult, examine how U.S. households are coping and how their behavior may change post-pandemic.
Moody's Analytics & Raymond James In Conversation: Impact on Financial Institutions – Election Outlook
Robby Holditch and Mark Zandi from Moody’s Analytics will be joined by John Toohig and Ed Mills from Raymond James to discuss the coming election outlook and the various impacts by each of the candidates on financial institutions.
Weekly Market Outlook: Profits Give Direction to Downgrades and Defaults
Though unresolved issues stemming from COVID-19 warn of substantial tail risk, investors have become more tolerant of above-average risk according to the recent narrowing of corporate bond yield spreads.
Weekly Market Outlook: Record-High Bond Issuance Aids Nascent Upturn
The Congressional fight over additional fiscal stimulus goes on. The Democrats propose an additional $2.2 trillion of deficit spending, while the Republicans have offered $1.6 trillion
Assessing the Macroeconomic Impact of Biden's Economic Policies
In this webinar, we assess the economic impact of Former Vice President Joe Biden's proposals under different scenarios.
