Recession risks are uncomfortably high and rising, as President Trump continues to pursue his trade war with China.
This webinar will consider the leading indicators of recession, the potential timing of the downturn, its severity and length.
Mark Zandi, Managing Director, Chief Economist
Mark Zandi is Chief Economist of Moody’s Analytics, where he directs the economic research and forecasting team.
Steve Cochrane, Senior Director, Chief APAC Economist
Steven G. Cochrane, PhD, is Chief APAC Economist with Moody’s Analytics. He leads the Asia economic analysis and forecasting activities of the Moody’s Analytics research team, as well as the continual expansion of the company’s international, national and subnational forecast models.
Ryan Sweet, Director, Real Time Economics
Ryan Sweet leads real-time economics at Moody's Analytics and is a member of the U.S. macroeconomics team. He specializes in the U.S. economy, including monetary policy and forecasting high-frequency economic indicators.
Though unresolved issues stemming from COVID-19 warn of substantial tail risk, investors have become more tolerant of above-average risk according to the recent narrowing of corporate bond yield spreads.
The Congressional fight over additional fiscal stimulus goes on. The Democrats propose an additional $2.2 trillion of deficit spending, while the Republicans have offered $1.6 trillion
In this webinar, we assess the economic impact of Former Vice President Joe Biden's proposals under different scenarios.
In this webinar, we will assess the three new economic scenarios provided by the Fed.
The default research analysts at Moody's Investors Service have lowered their baseline estimates for the U.S. high-yield default rate.
The U.S. is now in high-season politically.
In terms of US$-denominated supply, corporate bond issuance attained record highs for the month of August.
We’re coming up on six months since COVID-19 turned the world upside down. We are adjusting; however, few things feel normal.
On August 27, the Federal Open Market Committee updated its long-term goals and monetary policy strategy.
In this webinar, we will identify the areas of the country that are best- and worst-positioned in the coming months and years; discuss various themes, trends, and risks that inform our outlook for different regions; and explore what the data are telling us about what is happening in real time.