APAC Economic Outlook: November 2020
Recession risks are uncomfortably high and rising, as President Trump continues to pursue his trade war with China.
This webinar will consider the leading indicators of recession, the potential timing of the downturn, its severity and length.
Click here to view presentation slides.
Speakers
Mark Zandi, Managing Director, Chief Economist
Mark Zandi is Chief Economist of Moody’s Analytics, where he directs the economic research and forecasting team.
Steve Cochrane, Senior Director, Chief APAC Economist
Steven G. Cochrane, PhD, is Chief APAC Economist with Moody’s Analytics. He leads the Asia economic analysis and forecasting activities of the Moody’s Analytics research team, as well as the continual expansion of the company’s international, national and subnational forecast models.
Katrina Ell, Assistant Director,
Sydney-based economist responsible for research and analysis of economies throughout the Asia-Pacific region, as well as management of the Asia-Pacific edition of Economy.com..
Related Articles
Weekly Market Outlook: Existing-Home Sales Pick Up
Existing-home sales rebounded in January, climbing 3.1% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4 million, slightly above consensus expectations for 3.97 million sales.
Weekly Market Outlook: Too-High CPI
According to January's consumer price index, the annual inflation rate fell from 3.4% to 3.1%.
Weekly Market Outlook: No News Is Good News
For consecutive meetings, the Federal Open Market Committee kept its primary policy rate unchanged.
Weekly Market Outlook: No Surprise in September CPI
September's consumer price index, as Moody's Analytics expected, showed a 0.4% monthly increase that held the annual inflation rate at 3.7%.
Weekly Market Outlook: Rates on the Rise
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has been on a steady climb upward since May but has accelerated to start the fourth quarter, reaching its highest level since 2007.
Weekly Market Outlook: A Win for the Doves
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell last week emphasized the degree of uncertainty surrounding the outlook for monetary policy, while reasserting the central bank's commitment to not ease up on the brakes until its 2% inflation target is in sight.
Weekly Market Outlook: U.S. Job Growth Looks a Little Less Robust
The Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday released its preliminary estimate for the upcoming benchmark revisions to payroll employment.
Weekly Market Outlook: Looking Good, So Far
The Moody's Analytics high-frequency GDP estimate for the U.S. third quarter rose with the latest data on consumer spending and inflation
Weekly Market Outlook: Inflation Meets Expectations
The U.S. consumer price index for July carries limited monetary policy implications, as we believe the Federal Reserve is done with interest-rate hikes for the current tightening cycle.
Weekly Market Outlook: Labor Market Loosens—Unevenly
Job openings are now at their lowest since April 2021, when COVID-19 vaccines were becoming widely available.