Moody's Analytics Webinar: Forecast Accuracy Update
In this webinar, economist Ryan Sweet discusses the Moody’s Analytics forecast accuracy for the U.S. economy in 2018.
Speaker:
Ryan Sweet is director of real-time economics and head of monetary policy research with Moody's Analytics. Ryan specializes in the U.S. economy and is among the most accurate forecasters, according to MarketWatch and Bloomberg LP. Ryan is also an adjunct professor in the Economics and Finance Department at West Chester University of Pennsylvania. He received his master's degree in economics from the University of Delaware and his bachelor's degree in economics from Washington College.
Related Articles
Weekly Market Outlook: Another Ugly Inflation Report
The U.S. consumer price index cements another 75-basis point rate hike at the upcoming meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee.
Weekly Market Outlook: Vulnerable U.S. Economy Faces Test
OPEC+ announced a significant cut to its collective output limit, just as the U.S. economy is vulnerable and financial market conditions have tightened.
Weekly Market Outlook: Hurricane Ian: Counting the Costs
Hurricane Ian, the second major hurricane of the 2022 season and the first of the year to hit the continental U.S., made landfall Wednesday.
Weekly Market Outlook: No Clipping Hawks' Wings
If there was any doubt that the Federal Reserve was serious about taming inflation, it should be gone after the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee as it hiked the target range for the fed funds rate by 75 basis points and signaled a noticeably higher terminal rate than previously thought.
Weekly Market Outlook: Change Is Blowing in the Wind
The August U.S. consumer price index changes the calculus for the Federal Reserve, which is now likely to hike the target range for the fed funds rate by 75 basis points next week.
Weekly Market Outlook: This August Was Different
The strength of the U.S. labor market gives the Federal Reserve cover to continue hiking interest rates aggressively.
Weekly Market Outlook: Rising Rates Won't Bring Golden Age of Banking
As a core monetary policy transmission mechanism, banks pass on policy rate hikes to lending and deposit rates, although the strength of this response varies by asset class and maturity.
Weekly Market Outlook: Fed Isn't Popping Champagne
U.S. consumers finally got a little relief on the inflation front in July because of a significant decline in gasoline prices, but the Federal Reserve isn't going to celebrate as one month isn't a trend.
Weekly Market Outlook: How Inverted Could the U.S. Yield Curve Get?
The U.S. yield curve has been inverted for several weeks and is among the most inverted in decades.
Weekly Market Outlook: Inflation and U.S. Recession Risks
The recent surge in U.S. inflation has made a mockery of interest rate projections, market-implied and professional forecasts alike.