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    Moody's Analytics: 2019 U.S. Macro Outlook - From Virtuous to Vicious Cycle

    The next recession is coming into view but probably will not arrive in the coming year as many seem to fear.

    Still the economy is vulnerable to major shocks, policy missteps, and other geopolitical events. In this webinar, Chief Economist Mark Zandi shares his outlook for the economy, including why 2019 should be another reasonably good year, the threats to this expectation, and why a downturn early in the next decade is more likely.

    Click here for the presentation

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    Moody's Analytics Webinar: Who Will Be the Next President?

    In this timely webinar, Mark Zandi, Dan White, Bernard Yaros and the Moody's Analytics team examine the prospects for the U.S. presidential election based on their modeling of the past 10 Presidential elections.

    October 17, 2019 WebPage Mark Zandi
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    Moody's Analytics Webinar: Who Will Be the Next President?

    In this timely webinar, Mark Zandi, Dan White and Bernard Yaros examine the prospects for the U.S. presidential election based on their modeling of the past 10 Presidential elections. We also will assess the impact of voter turnout on the election results, something that had a significant impact on the 2016 election outcome

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    2020 Presidential Election Model

    The economy may not be top of mind for voters in every election, but it is hardly ever further than a close second. This is the principle underpinning Moody's Analytics presidential election models.

    October 2019 Pdf Mark ZandiDan White
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    The Next Recession - APAC Edition

    Recession risks are uncomfortably high and rising, as President Trump continues to pursue his trade war with China.

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    Evaluating Senator Warren's Social Security Reform Plan

    This brief paper outlines Senator Warren's reform plan and evaluates its actuarial, macroeconomic and distributional impacts.

    September 2019 Pdf Mark Zandi
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    Trade War Chicken: The Tariffs and the Damage Done

    Based on simulations of the Moody's Analytics model of the global economy, this paper examines the consequences for the U.S. and global economies in different scenarios regarding how the trade war between the U.S. and China will unfold.

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    Moody's Analytics Webinar: The Next Recession

    Climate Change Scenarios

    September 03, 2019 WebPage Mark Zandi
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    Webinar: The Next Recession - APAC Edition

    Recession risks are uncomfortably high and rising, as President Trump continues to pursue his trade war with China.

    September 2019 WebPage Mark ZandiSteven CochraneKatrina Ell
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    The Next Recession

    Recession risks are uncomfortably high and rising, as President Trump continues to pursue his trade war with China.

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    Household Credit Conditions Never Better

    More than a decade after the financial crisis that was caused in significant part by debt-burdened households, there is no indication that household debt will be at the center of the next economic recession.

    August 2019 Pdf Mark Zandi
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