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January 2018

In this video webcast, we identify the critical components needed for a successful CECL implementation and the new considerations it also brings.

Firms must have deeper collaboration between risk, finance, and accounting teams, expand historical data, choose the right methodology, and so on. In addition, information on CECL guidelines and its interpretation continues to play a big part in strategy planning and decision-making among firms.

In partnership with GARP and the American Banker's Association, our experts discuss: 

  • The economic impact of CECL
  • Best practices from IFRS 9 implementation
  • Practical implementation considerations
  • Beyond execution to understand the final picture
Related Insights

CECLnomics and the Promise of Countercyclical Loss Accounting

In this study, we address these shortcomings by utilizing data that track loan volume and performance to ascertain CECL's cyclical impact.

October 02, 2018 Pdf Dr. Cristian deRitis

Mean Reversion in CECL: The What and the How

With the CECL guidelines on mean reversion open to multiple interpretations, our paper discusses some approaches institutions can take for reversion beyond the reasonable and supportable horizon.

Beyond Theory: A Practical Guide to Using Economic Forecasts for CECL Estimates

In this paper, we discuss some of the options that institutions have for incorporating economic forecasts into their expected loan loss reserve calculations. We discuss the benefits and costs of each approach and provide practical recommendations based on institution size and complexity.

CECL for Consumer Credit Portfolios: Modeling Best Practices

In this webinar, our economists and consumer credit analyst will share insight on techniques and best practices for modeling allowances for CECL.

August 02, 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitisDr. Deniz Tudor
Article

The Impact of Assumptions on the CECL Estimate

Across institutions of all sizes, one of the questions executive management should be asking their CECL working groups is, "What is the impact to our bottom line?"

August 2018 WebPage Masha Muzyka

Moody's Analytics Webinar: CECL Disclosures – Required and Beyond

Based on the required disclosures for CECL, discuss what readers of your financial statements will be able to do and what type of additional information they would expect. We will cover potential implication of the methodology chosen to the expected disclosures.

July 31, 2018 WebPage Masha Muzyka
Presentation

CECL Disclosures – Required and Beyond

CECL Disclosures – Required and Beyond

July 2018 Pdf Masha Muzyka, Jin Oh
Webinar-on-Demand

CECL Disclosures – Required and Beyond

Our experts, Masha Muzyka and Jin Oh, cover transition disclosures focus areas, potential implication of the methodology chosen to the expected disclosures and ECL disclosure best practices emerging to date.

July 2018 WebPage Masha Muzyka, Jin Oh
Presentation

Be Reasonable: Creating Supportable Forecast Scenarios for CECL

This presentation discusses the CECL requirement of reasonable and supportable forecasts. We discuss what makes an economic scenario reasonable and supportable and discusses structural forecast model methodology. We also compare customized, standard and off-the-shelf scenarios and examine forecasting credit losses.

June 2018 Pdf Dr. Cristian deRitis

CECL Impact Analysis for Consumer Lending Portfolios

Through case studies of mortgage and auto portfolios, our experts explore the potential impact of CECL on industry wide reserves and factors that will affect results at the institution level.

May 16, 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitisDr. Deniz Tudor
Webinar-on-Demand

President Trump's Tariffs – Assessing the Impact of Various Trade Scenarios

In this webinar, Mark Zandi and our team of economists use the Moody’s Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model to assess the impact of various trade scenarios.

April 2018 WebPage Mark Zandi, Dr. Cristian deRitis, Marisa DiNatale
Webinar-on-Demand

The Transition to CECL: IFRS 9 Lessons Learned, Part 2

In this video webcast, we identify the critical components needed for a successful CECL implementation and the new considerations it also brings.

February 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis, Michael Gullette, Masha Muzyka
Webinar-on-Demand

The Transition to CECL: Disclosures, Part 4

In this video webcast, we identify the critical components needed for a successful CECL implementation and the new considerations it also brings.

February 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis, Michael Gullette, Masha Muzyka
Webinar-on-Demand

The Transition to CECL: Implementation Considerations, Part 3

In this video webcast, we identify the critical components needed for a successful CECL implementation and the new considerations it also brings.

February 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis, Michael Gullette, Masha Muzyka
Webinar-on-Demand

The Transition to CECL: Final Picture, Part 5

In this video webcast, we identify the critical components needed for a successful CECL implementation and the new considerations it also brings.

February 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis, Michael Gullette, Masha Muzyka
Webinar-on-Demand

The Transition to CECL: Economic Impact, Part 1

In this video webcast, we identify the critical components needed for a successful CECL implementation and the new considerations it also brings.

February 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis, Michael Gullette, Masha Muzyka
Webinar-on-Demand

CECL's Forward-Looking Requirements

In this webinar, we examine how CECL’s forward-looking requirements can significantly change your loss reserves and future financial statements.

January 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis
Webinar-on-Demand

The Credit Impact of Hurricanes

Moody's Analytics Senior Director Cristian deRitis and Equifax Chief Economist Amy Crews Cutts discuss the potential impact of the hurricanes on consumer credit.

December 2017 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis
Article

The Impact of CECL's Financial Reporting Requirements

FASB's new accounting standard will have a significant effect on financial statements. Financial institutions must educate their investors and shareholders about how CECL-driven disclosure and reporting changes could potentially alter the bottom line.

November 2017 Pdf Masha Muzyka
Presentation

Economic Scenarios: A Glimpse Into the Future

Under CECL and IFRS 9, forecasting expected credit losses will be paramount. Join Moody's Analytics experts as they discuss our macro and regional forecasting. Learn how our full suite of scenario capabilities for CECL, IFRS 9, BAU, and stress testing can help your firm meet this essential requirement.

November 2017 Pdf Dr. Cristian deRitis
Interview

Why is Purchased Credit Impaired (PCI) Accounting Being Simplified Under CECL?

In this video, Masha Muzyka discusses how operational complexities and comparability issues contributed to the changes from purchased credit impaired (PCI) accounting to purchased credit deteriorated (PCD) accounting under CECL.

October 2017 WebPage Masha Muzyka
Interview

What are Some of the Pros and Cons of Loan Level versus Cohort-Level or Portfolio-Level Models for CECL?

In this video, Cris DeRitis reviews the advantages and disadvantages of the different type of models that are acceptable for CECL. A portfolio-level approach is a simpler modeling method, but lacks granularity.

October 2017 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis
Interview

Which Modeling Methods or Techniques are Acceptable for CECL?

In this video, Cris deRitis reviews the types of models institutions can leverage to be CECL-compliant including loan-level, loss given default, probability of default, expected at default, vintage cohort, or portfolio-level models.

October 2017 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis
Interview

What Should Banks Consider When Using Existing Models for CECL?

In this video, Cris DeRitis explains how institutions can leverage existing models and modify them to be compliant with the new CECL standard. Acceptable models institutions can use include Dodd-Frank Act Stress Testing (DFAST), though-the-cycle or internal models.

October 2017 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis
Interview

What are the Pros and Con of Single versus Multiple Scenario Use for CECL?

In this video, Cris deRitis discusses how single versus multiple scenarios can impact loss provisions and affect volatility in portfolios. One advantage of a single scenario is the simplicity, but it only provides one number under one scenario which can cause volatility over time.

October 2017 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis
Whitepaper

Economic Scenarios: What's Reasonable and Supportable?

In this paper, we review and make recommendations on the use of economic scenarios in the CECL process along six key dimensions: FASB requirements, Forecast methodology and horizon definition, number of scenarios, mean reversions and custom scenarios. We conclude with a discussion of other considerations banks and lenders should bear in mind when developing a forward-looking process for CECL compliance.

October 2017 Pdf Dr. Cristian deRitis
Presentation

Expected Loss Quantification: Factors that Will Move the Needle Presentation Slides

In this presentation, Anna Krayn and Masha Muzyka discuss the importance of accounting for risk differentiation and rank ordering for pass-rated loans, common flaws of risk rating systems and the potential financial impact on ALLL.

September 2017 Pdf Anna KraynMasha Muzyka
Webinar-on-Demand

Expected Loss Quantification: Factors that Will Move the Needle

In this webinar, Anna Krayn and Masha Muzyka discuss the importance of accounting for risk differentiation and rank ordering for pass-rated loans, common flaws of risk rating systems and the potential financial impact on ALLL.

September 2017 WebPage Anna KraynMasha Muzyka
Presentation

"Economic Scenarios for CECL; What's Reasonable and Supportable?" Presentation Slides

In this webinar, Cris deRitis, Senior Director from Moody's Analytics, demonstrates how to leverage econometrically derived, forward-looking scenarios to assess life-time losses for CECL.

September 2017 Pdf Dr. Cristian deRitis
Webinar-on-Demand

Economic Scenarios for CECL: What's Reasonable and Supportable?

In this webinar, Cris deRitis, Senior Director from Moody's Analytics, demonstrates how to leverage econometrically derived, forward-looking scenarios to assess life-time losses for CECL.

September 2017 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis
Interview

How Many Forward-looking Scenarios does CECL Require?

In this video, learn more about the requirements for forward-looking economic scenarios for CECL compliance and the comparisons between scenarios for CECL and IFRS 9.

September 2017 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis
Interview

What are the Key Considerations for Purchased Financial Assets with Credit Deterioration (PCD) Under CECL?

In this video, Masha Muzyka discusses the accounting challenges faced by institutions acquiring financial assets with credit deterioration under the new CECL standard.

August 2017 WebPage Masha Muzyka
Article

CECL: What's on Tap for the Future of Credit Loss Accounting?

A new model for expected credit losses is supposed to fix flaws in the accounting system and protect against future financial crises. But the so-called CECL model comes with its own set of challenges that will dramatically change firms' accounting practices for impaired loans. The Financial Accounting Standard Board's (FASB) recently issued current expected credit loss (CECL) model attempts to align measurement of credit losses for all financial assets held at amortized cost, and specifically calls out potential improvements to the accounting for purchased credit impaired (PCI) assets.

July 2017 Pdf Masha Muzyka
Article

When Good Data Happen to Good People: Boosting Productivity with High-Quality Data

In this article, we show the mechanisms through which data quality and productivity interact, and how investments in data quality can offer productivity gains.

Article

Accounting for Purchased Credit Deteriorated Financial Assets: Current and Future GAAP

In this article, we explore existing and future accounting and operational challenges faced by institutions acquiring financial assets with credit deterioration.

July 2017 WebPage Masha Muzyka
Article

When Good Data Happen to Good People: Boosting Productivity with High-Quality Data

With ever-increasing requirements for a higher quantity and quality of analytical output, the need to boost productivity in risk management has become more acute. In pursuing these productivity gains, we have observed that investments in data quality can offer dramatic improvements and typically pay for themselves.

Webinar-on-Demand

CECL Quantification: Retail Portfolios

In this webinar, our experts discuss the important considerations in the modeling and implementation of the CECL standard for retail portfolios. Learn more about loan-level modeling approaches that can be used to forecast credit losses for retail portfolios and how to leverage existing risk measurement practices.

Presentation

CECL Quantification: Retail Portfolios Webinar Slides

In this webinar, our experts discuss the important considerations in the modeling and implementation of the CECL standard for retail portfolios. Learn more about loan-level modeling approaches that can be used to forecast credit losses for retail portfolios and how to leverage existing risk measurement practices.

Whitepaper

Expanding and Regionalizing the Federal Reserve CCAR Scenarios

Moody's Analytics will expand each of the Fed's scenarios to produce forecasts for the full set of more than 1,500 variables found in its own macroeconomic forecasts.

March 2017 Pdf Celia Chen, Dr. Cristian deRitis, Ed Friedman, Adam Kamins
Presentation

CECL Quantification: Retail Portfolios Webinar Slides

In this webinar, our experts discuss the important considerations in the modeling and implementation of the CECL standard for retail portfolios. Learn more about loan-level modeling approaches that can be used to forecast credit losses for retail portfolios and how to leverage existing risk measurement practices.

Webinar-on-Demand

Expanding Sensitivity Analysis and Stress Testing for CECL

In this American Banker webinar, Moody's Analytics discusses potential approaches for firms to expand on their current sensitivity analysis and stress testing for CECL implementation.

December 2016 WebPage Nihil Patel, Michael Gullette
Article

CECL's Implications for Bank Profitability, System Stability, and Economic Growth

In this article, we analyze the potential effects of upcoming CECL regulations on lenders and explore the impact of CECL under different Moody’s Analytics scenarios.

November 2016 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitisDr. Deniz Tudor
Whitepaper

CCAR and the Paradox of Lower Losses

Now that bank finances and risk management are stronger and data are more reliable, we focus on the quantitative accuracy of the stress tests themselves and their reasonableness vis-a-vis the Great Recession experience in this article.

April 2014 Pdf Dr. Cristian deRitis, Mustafa Akcay, Jeffrey Hollander
Presentation

Stress Testing Webinar Series: Macroeconomic Conditional Loss Forecasting Presentation

In this Moody's Analytics webinar, Thomas Day and other Moody's Analytics experts discuss Macroeconomic Conditional Loss Forecasting. Given the criticality of loss estimation, and the need for different models by asset class, we cover loss estimation for Retail Exposures (non-mortgage), Structured Portfolios, Wholesale C&I (non-public), and Wholesale (public).

October 2013 Pdf Thomas Day, Dr. Cristian deRitis, Luis Amador
Whitepaper

The Moody's CreditCycle Approach to Loan Loss Modeling

This whitepaper goes in-depth into the Moody's CreditCycle approach to loan loss modeling.

CECL's Implications for Bank Profitability, System Stability, and Economic Growth

In this article, we analyze the potential effects of upcoming CECL regulations on lenders and explore the impact of CECL under different Moody's Analytics scenarios. A poorly timed transition could lead to a market-wide liquidity shortage or a crisis in economic activity. We provide suggestions on how the transition to CECL can be managed smoothly for minimal economic impact.

Consumer Credit Outlook, Economic Outlook Conference

In this video, Cris deRitis, Senior Director presents on the Consumer Credit Outlook at the Moody’s Analytics flagship event, EOC16.