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    Identifying At-Risk Firms in Your Private Firm Portfolio

    October 2018

    Identify the risks in your private firm portfolio using Moody’s Analytics RiskCalc™ Early Warning Toolkit methodology.

    This highly-informative webinar provides a practical approach for effectively monitoring your organization’s large portfolios and reducing your risk exposure.

    Private firm Expected Default Frequency (EDF™) metrics are forward-looking probability of default measures that combine financial statement and equity market information into a highly-predictive measurement of standalone credit risk. The RiskCalc Early Warning Toolkit recommends tracking five EDF-related metrics associated with elevated future default risk. Learn which metrics you should be identifying and tracking to reduce your portfolio risk exposure.

    Our subject matter experts discuss:

    • High-level best practices and the practical application of the Early Warning Toolkit for private firms.
    • Recent Early Warning Toolkit research enhancements including optimized EDF trigger levels, and a Deterioration Propensity Index.
    • Tools available via Moody's Analytics Excel Add-in, including customized templates and dashboards.
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    EDF Report July 2020 for North American Corporate Firms

    This report summarizes the credit condition for North American corporate firms until end of July 2020, by analyzing the CreditEdge™ EDF measure as well as other market-based metrics.

    August 2020 WebPage Michael Zeng, Zhong Zhuang, Dr. Douglas Dwyer
    Whitepaper

    EDF Report June 2020 for North American Corporate Firms

    This report summarizes the credit condition for North American corporate firms until end of June 2020, by analyzing the CreditEdge™ EDF measure as well as other market-based metrics.

    July 2020 WebPage Michael Zeng, Zhong Zhuang, Dr. Douglas Dwyer
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Navigating Problem Loans and SME Credit Risk During the Pandemic

    In this webinar, we’ll address the macroeconomic impact of the pandemic, how SMEs in particular have been impacted, and what skills lenders will need to appropriately assess business viability and, ultimately, repayment capacity.

    June 2020 WebPage Dr. Douglas Dwyer, Shawn Gregrich, Mark Zandi
    Whitepaper

    EDF Report May 2020 for North American Corporate Firms

    North American corporates experienced very steep credit quality decline following the global COVID-19 pandemic. By the end of May 2020, the median EDF value of North American corporate firms was 2.02%, retreating slightly from a high of 2.31% at the end of March 2020. This report details EDF credit metrics for May 2020.

    June 2020 WebPage Michael Zeng, Zhong Zhuang, Dr. Douglas Dwyer
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Unlocking Trade Credit Limits for Enhanced Returns

    The traditional loss-minimizing approach to managing corporate trade credit can keep write-offs low but may be overly conservative.

    May 2020 WebPage Laurent Birade, Michael Denton, Gustavo Jimenez
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Keeping Business in Business: Weeks, Months or Quarters? (EMEA)

    Some Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises (SMEs) in the UK and beyond will have enough working capital relative to fixed expenses to withstand an extended business closure, but many will need help.

    May 2020 WebPage Dr. Douglas DwyerAnna Krayn

    EDF Report March 2020 for North American Corporate Firms

    In this report, we provide an analysis of COVID-19 effects and implications for leveraged lending for North American corporates.

    April 16, 2020 WebPage Michael Zeng, Zhong Zhuang, Dr. Douglas Dwyer
    Whitepaper

    Reopening Main Street

    In 2020, small- and medium-sized enterprises will need help to reopen and survive. Using a unique dataset, we assess how much and what type of financing these firms will need.

    April 2020 WebPage Dr. Douglas Dwyer, Maitena Pineiro
    Webinar-on-Demand

    SMEs Weeks, Months or Quarters - Keeping Businesses in Business

    In this webinar we discuss how some Small and Medium Sized Enterprises (SMEs) will have enough working capital relative to fixed expenses to withstand an extended business closure, but many will need help.

    April 2020 WebPage Anna KraynDr. Douglas Dwyer
    Article

    The Economics of Wholesale Credit

    Traditionally, corporate trade credit limits have been set based on customer size, an internal or external credit score, and a qualitative sense of risk appetite. These limits have been effective in minimizing write-offs, principally because they are conservative.

    March 2020 WebPage Michael Denton, Laurent Birade, Gustavo Jimenez
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