In this webinar, Mark Zandi and our team of economists use the Moody’s Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model to assess the impact of various trade scenarios.

President Trump has increased tariffs on select steel and aluminum imports and threatens to do the same on select imports from China. While the economic fallout from these actions is small, they signal a significant shift in U.S. trade policy and could be the precursor to much more damaging trade actions.

EVENT MATERIALS

RELATED REPORT

Down the Rabbit Hole: An Update | Mark Zandi | April 2018
Related Articles
Webinar-on-Demand

Trade War Update - Will Trump Push Too Far?

President Trump has escalated the trade war with China, and nearly everyone has been wrong-footed by the move.

Moody's Analytics Webinar: Trade War Update - Will Trump Push Too Far?

President Trump has escalated the trade war with China, and nearly everyone has been wrong-footed by the move.

May 20, 2019 WebPage Mark ZandiRyan SweetDr. Cristian deRitis
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Earnings Slump Would Unmask Dangers of High Leverage

According to the Federal Reserve's “Financial Stability Report” of May 2019, not only has the outstanding debt of nonfinancial businesses outpaced nominal GDP during the past 10 years (or since 2008), but the growth of debt has been skewed toward riskier firms.

May 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung ChoiKatrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Mark ZandiRyan Sweet, Michael Ferlez
Presentation

CECL 20/20: A Clear View of the New Credit Loss Requirements

Starting in 2020, the Current Expected Credit Loss (CECL) accounting standard will require financial institutions to reserve for estimated lifetime losses on loans and leases as soon as they are originated. This presentation will provide analytical insight and practical recommendations to help lenders strategize and effectively prepare for the new rule.

Article

Trade War Update: Will Trump Push Too Far?

New escalation of the U.S.-China trade war makes a number of scenarios possible, including one in which the global economy suffers recession later this year.

May 2019 Pdf Mark Zandi

Moody's Analytics Webinar: Briefing on the CCAR Scenarios

The Federal Reserve will release its scenarios for the 2019 CCAR stress test. Join Mark Zandi and Cristian deRitis as they discuss the narratives behind the Fed’s scenarios under forecasts of detailed economic variables.

February 11, 2019 WebPage Mark ZandiDr. Cristian deRitis
Webinar-on-Demand

Moody's Analytics Webinar: Briefing on the CCAR Scenarios

The Federal Reserve have released its scenarios for the 2019 CCAR stress test. Listen as Mark Zandi and Cristian deRitis discuss the narratives behind the Fed’s scenarios under forecasts of detailed economic variables.

February 2019 WebPage Mark ZandiDr. Cristian deRitis

Deconstructing Scenario Weights for CECL

In this paper we present the theoretical motivation behind these weights and suggests reasonable ways of choosing these weights in practice.

February 08, 2019 Pdf Dr. Sohini ChowdhuryDr. Cristian deRitis
Article

Trump Trade War: An Uneasy Truce

Using the Moody's Analytics model of the global economy, we consider the fallout if current negotiations break down and trade tensions between the two economic giants reignite.

February 2019 Pdf Mark Zandi
Article

Weekly Market Outlook: Baa-Grade Credits Dominate U.S. Investment-Grade Rating Revisions

In 2018's final quarter, the 22 downgrades of U.S. investment-grade companies included nine that were at least partly ascribed to mergers, acquisitions and divestitures and three that were linked to equity buybacks. Only half, or 11, of fourth-quarter 2018's U.S. investment-grade downgrades were primarily driven by worsened operating or market fundamentals.

January 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung ChoiKatrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Mark ZandiRyan Sweet, Michael Ferlez
RESULTS 1 - 10 OF 80