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In this webinar, Mark Zandi and our team of economists use the Moody’s Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model to assess the impact of various trade scenarios.

President Trump has increased tariffs on select steel and aluminum imports and threatens to do the same on select imports from China. While the economic fallout from these actions is small, they signal a significant shift in U.S. trade policy and could be the precursor to much more damaging trade actions.

EVENT MATERIALS

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Down the Rabbit Hole: An Update | Mark Zandi | April 2018
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Weekly Market Outlook: Baa-Grade Credits Dominate U.S. Investment-Grade Rating Revisions

In 2018's final quarter, the 22 downgrades of U.S. investment-grade companies included nine that were at least partly ascribed to mergers, acquisitions and divestitures and three that were linked to equity buybacks. Only half, or 11, of fourth-quarter 2018's U.S. investment-grade downgrades were primarily driven by worsened operating or market fundamentals.

January 2019 Pdf John Lonski, Yukyung Choi, Katrina Ell, Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Mark Zandi, Ryan Sweet, Michael Ferlez

2019 U.S. Macro Outlook: From Virtuous to Vicious Cycle

In this webinar, Chief Economist Mark Zandi, will share his outlook for the economy, including why 2019 should be another reasonably good year, the threats to this expectation and why a downturn early in the next decade is more likely.

January 15, 2019 WebPage Mark Zandi
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Moody's Analytics: 2019 U.S. Macro Outlook - From Virtuous to Vicious Cycle

The next recession is coming into view but probably will not arrive in the coming year as many seem to fear.

January 2019 WebPage Mark Zandi
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Gauging CECL Cyclicality

In this paper, we provide empirical support for the conclusion that the CECL standard will be less procyclical than the incurred loss standard.

December 2018 Pdf Mark Zandi, Dr. Cristian deRitis
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CECL Roundtable FAQs

An open dialogue around economic forecasting techniques for calculating life-of-loan expected credit losses.

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Pride and Protectionism: U.S. Trade Policy and Its Impact on Asia

Crafting economically sound trade policy is easier said than done.

October 2018 Pdf Mark Zandi, Steven CochraneRyan Sweet
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Moody's Analytics Webinar: No Brexit to No Deal

The Brexit saga is quickly coming to a head, but it is increasingly unclear which direction it is headed.

October 2018 WebPage Barbara Teixeira Araujo, Mark Zandi

Moody's Analytics Webinar: No Brexit to No Deal

The Brexit saga is quickly coming to a head, but it is increasingly unclear which direction it is headed. Join Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team as they assess the global macroeconomic implications of the range of possible scenarios from No Brexit to No Deal.

October 12, 2018 WebPage Mark Zandi, Barbara Teixeira Araujo
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CECLnomics and the Promise of Countercyclical Loss Accounting

In this study, we address these shortcomings by utilizing data that track loan volume and performance to ascertain CECL's cyclical impact.

October 2018 Pdf Dr. Cristian deRitis
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Mean Reversion in CECL: The What and the How

With the CECL guidelines on mean reversion open to multiple interpretations, our paper discusses some approaches institutions can take for reversion beyond the reasonable and supportable horizon.

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