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In this webinar, Mark Zandi and our team of economists use the Moody’s Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model to assess the impact of various trade scenarios.

President Trump has increased tariffs on select steel and aluminum imports and threatens to do the same on select imports from China. While the economic fallout from these actions is small, they signal a significant shift in U.S. trade policy and could be the precursor to much more damaging trade actions.

EVENT MATERIALS

RELATED REPORT

Down the Rabbit Hole: An Update | Mark Zandi | April 2018
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CECL for Consumer Credit Portfolios: Modeling Best Practices

In this webinar, our economists and consumer credit analyst will share insight on techniques and best practices for modeling allowances for CECL.

August 02, 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitisDr. Deniz Tudor
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U.S Macroeconomic Outlook Scenario Update

In this webinar, our economists present the current outlook for the U.S.

July 2018 WebPage Marisa DiNatale, Ed Friedman

Trade War Scenarios

Fill out this form to request more information on our Trade War Scenarios. Moody's Analytics scenarios are the foundation of risk management, compliance and strategic planning needs

July 17, 2018 WebPage Mark Zandi

Webinar - Forecasting Innovations: Moody's Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model and Scenario Studio

Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team discuss recent changes to our Global Macroeconomic Model, and provide an overview of Scenario Studio.

June 28, 2018 WebPage Mark Zandi, Dr. Richard Cross, Mark Hopkins
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Global Macroeconomic Model and Scenario Studio

In this webinar, Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team discuss recent changes to our Global Macroeconomic Model, and provide an overview of Scenario Studio, our new platform for custom scenario development. Learn more: www.moodysanalytics.com/scenariostudio

June 2018 WebPage Mark Zandi, Mark Hopkins
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The Venezuela Crisis and Consequences for South America

This paper assesses the economic consequences for Venezuela and the rest of South America if Maduro serves out his new presidential term, and if he is cast from office.

June 2018 Pdf Marisa DiNatale

CECL Impact Analysis for Consumer Lending Portfolios

Through case studies of mortgage and auto portfolios, our experts explore the potential impact of CECL on industry wide reserves and factors that will affect results at the institution level.

May 16, 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitisDr. Deniz Tudor

Down the Rabbit Hole: NAFTA Scenarios

A centerpiece of presidential candidate Trump's economic agenda was to take a hard line on our trading partners, particularly those with which the U.S. runs a trade deficit. China and Mexico were the object of his strongest recriminations, and he argued that large tariffs should be slapped on their exports to the U.S. Trump also labeled the Trans-Pacific Partnership and North American Free Trade Agreement as among as the worst trade deals ever.

April 17, 2018 Pdf Mark Zandi

Moody's Analytics Webinar: President Trump's Tariffs – Assessing the Impact of Various Trade Scenarios

In this webinar, Mark Zandi and our team of economists use the Moody’s Analytics Global Macroeconomic Model to assess the impact of various trade scenarios.

April 11, 2018 WebPage Mark Zandi

Weighing the Wealth Effect

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March 28, 2018 WebPage Mark Zandi

Weighing the Wealth Effect

The importance of the wealth effect has significant implications for the economic expansion. In this paper, we quantify the wealth effect based on unique retail sales data and data on household stock and financial asset holdings. We examine differences in the wealth effect across retail spending categories, the lags in the wealth effect, and possible asymmetries in the wealth effect due to rising versus falling asset prices.

March 21, 2018 Pdf Mark Zandi
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The Transition to CECL: Implementation Considerations, Part 3

In this video webcast, we identify the critical components needed for a successful CECL implementation and the new considerations it also brings.

February 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis, Michael Gullette, Masha Muzyka
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The Transition to CECL: Disclosures, Part 4

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The Transition to CECL: Final Picture, Part 5

In this video webcast, we identify the critical components needed for a successful CECL implementation and the new considerations it also brings.

February 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis, Michael Gullette, Masha Muzyka
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The Transition to CECL: IFRS 9 Lessons Learned, Part 2

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February 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis, Michael Gullette, Masha Muzyka
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The Transition to CECL: Economic Impact, Part 1

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February 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis, Michael Gullette, Masha Muzyka
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Briefing on the CCAR Scenarios

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Moody's Analytics Webinar: Briefing on the CCAR Scenarios

The Federal Reserve has released its scenarios for the 2018 CCAR stress test. Join Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team as they discuss the narratives behind the Fed’s scenarios under forecasts of more than 1,500 detailed economic variables.

February 01, 2018 WebPage Mark Zandi, Ed Friedman, Dr. Sohini Chowdhury
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CECL's Forward-Looking Requirements

In this webinar, we examine how CECL’s forward-looking requirements can significantly change your loss reserves and future financial statements.

January 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis
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2018 U.S. Economic Outlook

Mark Zandi, Chief Economist, and Ryan Sweet, Director of Real Time Economics, share Moody’s Analytics forecast and discuss the factors that could impact the economy’s performance.

January 2018 WebPage Ryan Sweet, Mark Zandi
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The Transition to CECL: Implementation and Strategic Considerations

In this video webcast, we identify the critical components needed for a successful CECL implementation and the new considerations it also brings.

January 2018 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis, Michael Gullette, Masha Muzyka
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Housing Takes a Hit

In this webinar, we consider the prospects for the housing market in 2018 in light of the recent changes to the tax code.

January 2018 WebPage Andres Carbacho-Burgos, Mark Zandi
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December 2017 WebPage Scott Hoyt, Brian Poi, Mark Zandi
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The Credit Impact of Hurricanes

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Economic Consequences of Republican Tax Legislation

In this webinar, we assess the implications of the imminent change, with a focus on who benefits most and who is likely to be hurt. The discussion entails a look at both the national effects and the regional implications.

December 2017 WebPage Chris Lafakis, Adam Kamins, Dan White, Mark Zandi
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Economic Scenarios: A Glimpse Into the Future

Under CECL and IFRS 9, forecasting expected credit losses will be paramount. Join Moody's Analytics experts as they discuss our macro and regional forecasting. Learn how our full suite of scenario capabilities for CECL, IFRS 9, BAU, and stress testing can help your firm meet this essential requirement.

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What are Some of the Pros and Cons of Loan Level versus Cohort-Level or Portfolio-Level Models for CECL?

In this video, Cris DeRitis reviews the advantages and disadvantages of the different type of models that are acceptable for CECL. A portfolio-level approach is a simpler modeling method, but lacks granularity.

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Which Modeling Methods or Techniques are Acceptable for CECL?

In this video, Cris deRitis reviews the types of models institutions can leverage to be CECL-compliant including loan-level, loss given default, probability of default, expected at default, vintage cohort, or portfolio-level models.

October 2017 WebPage Dr. Cristian deRitis
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What Should Banks Consider When Using Existing Models for CECL?

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What are the Pros and Con of Single versus Multiple Scenario Use for CECL?

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Economic Scenarios: What's Reasonable and Supportable?

In this paper, we review and make recommendations on the use of economic scenarios in the CECL process along six key dimensions: FASB requirements, Forecast methodology and horizon definition, number of scenarios, mean reversions and custom scenarios. We conclude with a discussion of other considerations banks and lenders should bear in mind when developing a forward-looking process for CECL compliance.

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When Good Data Happen to Good People: Boosting Productivity with High-Quality Data

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When Good Data Happen to Good People: Boosting Productivity with High-Quality Data

With ever-increasing requirements for a higher quantity and quality of analytical output, the need to boost productivity in risk management has become more acute. In pursuing these productivity gains, we have observed that investments in data quality can offer dramatic improvements and typically pay for themselves.

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Macro Outlook: Good (But Risky) Times

In this presentation, Mark Zandi presents his outlook for the global economy.

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CECL Quantification: Retail Portfolios

In this webinar, our experts discuss the important considerations in the modeling and implementation of the CECL standard for retail portfolios. Learn more about loan-level modeling approaches that can be used to forecast credit losses for retail portfolios and how to leverage existing risk measurement practices.

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Moody's Analytics will expand each of the Fed's scenarios to produce forecasts for the full set of more than 1,500 variables found in its own macroeconomic forecasts.

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CECL Quantification: Retail Portfolios Webinar Slides

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Brexit - Economic & Financial Aftermath

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June 2016 WebPage Mark Zandi
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Learnings from CCAR 2015 and Beyond

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November 2010 Pdf Dr. Christian Thun, Dr. Juan M. Licari, Mark Zandi

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