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December 2017

In this webinar, Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team discuss the impact of the wealth effect on economic expansion and quantify econometric estimates based on data from Visa and Equifax.

The "wealth effect" - the impact of changes in household wealth on consumer spending - has been instrumental to the economy's gains, with the American consumer powering the U.S. and global economies.

Forces such as surging stock and housing values are driving this, but stability will remain critical for continued growth.

Related Insights
Webinar-on-Demand

Economic Consequences of Republican Tax Legislation

In this webinar, we assess the implications of the imminent change, with a focus on who benefits most and who is likely to be hurt. The discussion entails a look at both the national effects and the regional implications.

December 2017 WebPage Chris Lafakis, Adam Kamins, Dan White, Mark Zandi
Presentation

Producing Objective Income & Balance Sheet Forecasts Presentation Slides

In this presentation, we demonstrate how forecasts based on industry data can be used to generate an objective benchmark of a bank's performance under baseline and stressed scenarios. We demonstrate results though case study of regional banks, peer groups, and larger CCAR-sized institutions.

November 2017 Pdf Brian Poi
Webinar-on-Demand

Producing Objective Income & Balance Sheet Forecasts

In this webinar, we demonstrate how forecasts based on industry data can be used to generate an objective benchmark of a bank’s performance under baseline and stressed scenarios. We demonstrate results though case study of regional banks, peer groups, and larger CCAR-sized institutions.

November 2017 WebPage Brian Poi
Webinar-on-Demand

The Economic Impact of Hurricane Irma

In this webinar replay, Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team examine the economic impact on the national and regional economy.

September 2017 WebPage Mark Zandi, Adam Kamins, Ryan Sweet, Dan White, Kwame Donaldson
Webinar-on-Demand

The Economic Impact of Hurricane Harvey

In this webinar replay, Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team examine the economic impact on the national and regional economy, including the effect on GDP, corporate profits, gas prices, as well as property damage estimates for infrastructure, real estate and vehicles.

September 2017 WebPage Mark Zandi, Adam Kamins, Ed Friedman, Ryan Sweet, Chris Lafakis
Webinar-on-Demand

Forecasting Income & Balance Sheet Projections for Compliance

Regulators are placing increased emphasis on the rigor by which banks model their income and balance sheet projections.

July 2017 WebPage Brian Poi
Presentation

Macro Outlook: Good (But Risky) Times

In this presentation, Mark Zandi presents his outlook for the global economy.

May 2017 WebPage Mark Zandi
Webinar-on-Demand

Economic Impact of a Trump Presidency

Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team examine the economic impact stemming from potential policy changes under President-Elect Donald Trump. They detail the assumptions behind three new Donald Trump specific forecast scenarios and demonstrate plausible outcomes on economic performance.

December 2016 WebPage Mark Zandi
Webinar-on-Demand

Post-US Presidential Election Outlook

Mark Zandi and Ryan Sweet discuss the outcome of the U.S. presidential election, what must be done early in the new president’s term to help the economy, and the implication of the election outcome on the fiscal outlook and growth.

November 2016 WebPage Ryan Sweet, Mark Zandi
Webinar-on-Demand

Assessing the impact of the EU-Wide Stress Test Results 2016

In this webinar, Dr. Mark Zandi, Chief Economist and Dr. Dimitrios Papanastasiou, Director, Stress Testing Specialist, discuss the results of the latest stress tests.

August 2016 WebPage Mark Zandi, Dr. Dimitrios Papanastasiou
Article

Improved Deposit Modeling: Using Moody's Analytics Forecasts of Bank Financial

In this article we demonstrate how to combine our forecasts of bank financial statements with internal data to produce forecasts that better reflect the macroeconomic environment posited under the various Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review scenarios.

August 2016 Pdf Dr. Tony HughesBrian Poi
Webinar-on-Demand

Brexit - Economic & Financial Aftermath

The U.K. stunned the world by voting to leave the EU. After months of bruising campaigning, British voters have chosen to reshape their country’s place in the world. Listen to Dr. Mark Zandi, Chief Economist of Moody’s Analytics, as he discusses the economic & financial aftermath of the #Brexit.

June 2016 WebPage Mark Zandi
Presentation

Forecasting Income Statements & Balance Sheets Using Industry Data

In this presentation, Dr. Brian Poi, Director, Economic Research, demonstrates how forecasts based on industry data can be used to generate an objective benchmark for internally generated forecasts.

October 2015 Pdf Brian Poi
Article

Multicollinearity and Stress Testing

Multicollinearity, the phenomenon in which the regressors of a model are correlated with each other, apparently causes a lot of confusion among practitioners and users of stress testing models. This article seeks to dispel this confusion.

May 2015 WebPage Dr. Tony HughesBrian Poi
Webinar-on-Demand

Learnings from CCAR 2015 and Beyond

In this webinar, Moody's Analytics experts revisit the CCAR 2015 scenarios, review industry results and discuss how to identify and quantify Systemic Risk.

April 2015 WebPage Mark Zandi, Anna KraynDr. Samuel W. Malone
Presentation

Reverse Stress Testing: Challenges and Benefits

Reverse stress testing is becoming recognised throughout the world for its benefits. This presentation explains what reverse stress testing is and what it can achieve, along with the challenges it presents. Here we show you why reverse stress testing can lead to a deeper understanding of an organisation's susceptibility to risk and why it is a valuable tool for any risk management strategy.

November 2010 Pdf Dr. Christian Thun, Dr. Juan M. Licari, Mark Zandi

Previewing This Year's Stress Tests Using the Bank Call Report Forecasts

To capture a bank’s real capacity to withstand an adverse economic scenario, the best approach is to start with forecasts produced only for accuracy and then apply a conservative overlay as regulation requires. Such forecasts capture mitigating forces such as flight to safety.

Article

Stress Testing and Strategic Planning Using Peer Analysis

Banks face the difficult task of building hundreds of forecasting models that disentangle macroeconomic effects from bank-specific decisions. We propose an approach based on consistently reported industry data that simplifies the modeler’s task and at the same time increases forecast accuracy.