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    How Will the Increase in Off-Lease Volume Affect Used Car Residuals?

    February 2017

    Increases in auto lease volumes are nothing new, yet the industry is rife with fear that used car prices are about to collapse. In this talk, we will explore the dynamics behind the trends and the speculation.

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    Will CECL Ultimately Be Worth All the Fuss?

    The industry is currently a hive of CECL-related activity. Many banks are busily testing their systems or finalizing their preparations for the go-live date, which is either in January 2020 or somewhat later, depending on the organization. Some are still making plans for implementation, and the rest are worried that they should be.

    August 2019 Pdf Dr. Tony Hughes
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    The Real Value of Stress Testing: Has CCAR Been Validated?

    The theory that banks are now safer because of CCAR, though, has not yet been tested.

    July 2019 Pdf Dr. Tony Hughes
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    CECL, IFRS 9 and the Demand for Forecast Stability

    Loan-loss provisioning models must take a variety of economic and client factors into account, but, with the right approach, banks can develop sensible loss forecasts that are more accurate and less susceptible to volatility.

    June 2019 WebPage Dr. Tony Hughes
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    Climate Change Stress Testing

    As evidence of climate change builds and threats materialize,data will be invaluable in creating a framework for making future credit decisions.

    June 2019 Pdf Dr. Tony Hughes
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    Finding a CECL Solution for Smaller Banks

    Good-quality CECL projections can be developed using high-quality data that is available free of charge.

    April 2019 Pdf Dr. Tony Hughes
    Article

    CECL Is In Trouble, But There's A Fix

    If CECL is to be rethought with this aim in mind, policymakers should learn from successful countercyclical features in the economy and design the new loan loss accounting system accordingly.

    January 2019 Pdf Dr. Tony Hughes

    Webinar: Auto Lease Pricing Under Economic Uncertainty

    Join us as we examine the recent performance of the used car market and lease residuals portfolios.

    September 25, 2018 WebPage Michael Vogan
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Webinar: Auto Lease Pricing Under Economic Uncertainty

    Join us as Lead Auto Economist, Michael Vogan examines the recent performance of the used car market and lease residuals portfolios.

    September 2018 WebPage Michael Vogan
    Article

    The Limits of AI in Banking

    We know that new techniques predict accurately under current conditions. But can we now demonstrate the circumstances in which the AI model will one day break?

    September 2018 Pdf Dr. Tony Hughes
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