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    Economic Consequences of Republican Tax Legislation

    In this webinar, we assess the implications of the imminent change, with a focus on who benefits most and who is likely to be hurt. The discussion entails a look at both the national effects and the regional implications.

    The Republican tax legislation will significantly impact the near-term economic outlook. Deficit-financed tax cuts will act as a fiscal stimulus, temporarily bolstering growth, but they will add significantly to the government’s deficits and debt load.

    In this webinar, we assess the implications of the imminent change, with a focus on who benefits most and who is likely to be hurt. The discussion entails a look at both the national effects and the regional implications.

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    Weekly Market Outlook: High-Yield Rating Changes Say High-Yield Bond Spread Is Too Thin

    High-yield bonds have rallied mightily despite the lack of any observable broad-based acceleration of either business sales or corporate earnings

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    U.S. Commercial Properties Price Indices Methodology and Forecast Trends

    Moody’s Analytics has added six new U.S. commercial property price indices (CPPI) to its global macroeconomic forecast model based on sales transaction data from REIS.

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    The Next Recession

    The U.S. and global economies are struggling under the weight of the U.S.-China trade war and a range of other geopolitical threats. Can the global economy avoid an economic recession?

    November 2019 Pdf Mark Zandi
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    Europe Economic Outlook - Cloud of Uncertainty

    We consider the leading indicators of recession, the potential timing of the downturn, its severity and length.

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    Weekly Market Outlook: Loans Impart an Upward Bias to High-Yield Downgrade per Upgrade Ratio

    The credit rating revisions of loan-only high-yield issuers reveal a higher frequency of rating downgrades compared to issuers with outstanding high-yield bonds.

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    Searching for Opportunity in the Land of OZ

    The Opportunity Zone (OZ) program offers substantial federal tax incentives in exchange for capital investment in under-resourced areas. This creates challenges for investors, policymakers and other stakeholders when trying to evaluate the more than 8,700 Opportunity Zones in their entirety. In this paper, we leverage our opportunity zones

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    Moody's Analytics Webinar: Who Will Be the Next President?

    In this timely webinar, Mark Zandi, Dan White, Bernard Yaros and the Moody's Analytics team examine the prospects for the U.S. presidential election based on their modeling of the past 10 Presidential elections.

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    Who Will Be the Next President?

    In this timely webinar, Mark Zandi, Dan White and Bernard Yaros examine the prospects for the U.S. presidential election based on their modeling of the past 10 Presidential elections. We also will assess the impact of voter turnout on the election results, something that had a significant impact on the 2016 election outcome

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    2020 Presidential Election Model

    The economy may not be top of mind for voters in every election, but it is hardly ever further than a close second. This is the principle underpinning Moody's Analytics presidential election models.

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