Economic Forecasting & Stress Testing Residual Vehicle Values
To effectively manage risk in your auto portfolios, you need to account for future economic conditions. Relying on models that do not fully account for cyclical economic factors and include subjective overlay, may produce inaccurate, inconsistent or biased estimates of residual values.
In this webinar, Tony Hughes of Moody’s Analytics presents a purely quantitative econometric method for determining residual vehicle values.
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"How Will the Increase in Off-Lease Volume Affect Used Car Residuals?" Presentation SlidesIncreases in auto lease volumes are nothing new, yet the industry is rife with fear that used car prices are about to collapse. In this talk, we will explore the dynamics behind the trends and the speculation. The abundance of vehicles in the US that are older than 10 years will soon need to be replaced, and together with continuing demand from ex-lessees, this demand will ensure that prices remain supported under baseline macroeconomic conditions. |
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