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    Learnings from CCAR 2015 and Beyond

    In this webinar, Moody's Analytics experts revisit the CCAR 2015 scenarios, review industry results and discuss how to identify and quantify Systemic Risk.

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    Webinar-on-Demand

    Global Economic Forecast Update

    With the rapid deterioration in the global economy as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team present an update to our economic outlook.

    March 2020 WebPage Mark ZandiRyan SweetCristian deRitis, Ed Friedman
    Article

    COVID-19: Global Recession Q&A

    We answer questions submitted in response to our recent webinar.

    Webinar-on-Demand

    The COVID-19 Pandemic: Assessing the Impact on Corporate Credit Risk

    In this webinar, we will use Moody’s Analytics EDF metrics to assess the impact COVID-19 has had so far on corporate credit risk.

    Article

    COVID-19: Global Economic Tsunami

    The onus is now on governments to quickly provide substantial financial support to hard-pressed households and businesses. How much economic damage COVID-19 ultimately does will depend on the trajectory of the virus—and how governments respond.

    March 2020 Pdf Mark Zandi
    Webinar-on-Demand

    COVID-19: Global Recession

    COVID-19 has created a global economic tsunami that is now hitting the United States and Europe with full force.

    March 2020 WebPage Mark ZandiRyan SweetCristian deRitisSteven Cochrane, Adam Kamins, Petr Zemcik
    Article

    Coronavirus: COVID-19 Pandemic Scenario Narrative: Known Unknowns

    The coronavirus is an existential threat to the record-long global economic expansion. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention says it is likely that COVID-19 will become a global pandemic. If the CDC's warning comes to pass, then recession will be difficult to avoid.

    March 2020 Pdf Mark Zandi
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Assessing the Economic Impact of the COVID-19 Virus Under Alternative Scenarios

    The COVID-19 virus continues to spread and the economic damage is mounting.

    Article

    Dealing With Fallen Angel Risk

    Highly Commended for Best Fixed Income Paper in the 2019 Savvy Investor Awards, this paper tests the early warning power of the CreditEdge Deterioration Probability (DP) metric for Fallen Angel downgrades.

    February 2020 Pdf Dr. Samuel W. MaloneYukyung Choi
    Article

    Coronavirus: COVID-19 Scenario Narratives

    We assess the global macroeconomic impact of two scenarios, although many others, each darker than the next, cannot be ruled out. This assessment is based on simulations of our global macroeconomic model, which captures linkages via international trade, immigration, foreign direct investment, and financial markets for more than 100 countries.

    February 2020 Pdf Mark ZandiSteven Cochrane
    Webinar-on-Demand

    Briefing on the CCAR Scenarios

    Following the release of the Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) scenarios for 2020, join Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team as they discuss the narratives behind the Fed’s scenarios.

    February 2020 WebPage Mark ZandiCristian deRitis
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